Thursday, 22 May 2014

8:00 Pontefract Racing Tip (23rd May) CONSTANT SECURITY SERVICES HANDICAP (CLASS 4) (4yo+ 0-85)

Head Space is either held up or tracks the leaders but is sixth on my figures. Springinmystep has only produced slow times on good to firm going with its hold up or track leaders style but isn't in my top six. Dark Castle usually tracks the leaders but only comes fifth on my list. Line Of Reason is another either held up or tracking the leaders type and does come out third on my figures from a run at Doncaster. However, I doubt this stiffer track will suit. Solar Spirit may find this trip too short and may prefer a slower surface, so it's not for me here.
Gravitational is a hold up horse and it's joint top on my figures so could get involved in the finish with a clear run. Feel The Heat is quite versatile in how it runs and may be the likely pace maker here as it's the only horse to have led before but its times have been slow. Relight My Fire likes to track the pace setters but this may be on the short side and it may get outpaced if there's a good fast early pace. Lothair also tracks the leaders and comes out third on my figures so has to be considered. TEETOTAL is another track the leaders type and is reasonably weighted here so should be able to land a blow.

SUMMARY: It's a fairly tight handicap and there's basically about six pounds difference between the top five rated. Add to that the fact that there is only one horse in the race that has been known to lead before it will either get an uncontested lead, which is always dangerous to the hold up types, or the race might become very tactical. Either way I'm hoping TEETOTAL, ridden here by Silvestre De Sousa and at the available 8/1, must be an each way bet. Don't forget all my ideas are based on the going being at least good or drier and if there's any cut in the going all bets are off.

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