Sunday, 15 June 2014

3:15 Carlisle Racing Tip (16th June) MOLSON COORS HANDICAP (CLASS 5) (3yo+ 0-70)

Thatcherite may find this trip a bit too short and can either be held up or as it will need to do here track the leaders. Its times have only been slow so may get outpaced. Salvatore Fury likes to track the leaders and is my fourth top rated and this type of course should suit. Rich Again can either be held up or track the pace and its best time was recorded at this course and is my third top rated so could have place claims. Meandmyshadow usually tracks the leaders and is my second top rated but its best was recorded on a flat course so not sure if it will like this course. Shillito has only ever produced slow times and may find this trip too far. Mission Impossible has only shown slow times and may prefer a slower surface and a shorter trip. Kirtling Belle may need the run after 297 days off and may also prefer some cut in the going but can be held up or track the pace. Iggy may find this trip too short but has no form on good to firm going. Red Cobra has got poor form on the going and hasn't produced any good times along the way. Great Demeanor likes to track the leaders but may find this too short and may get outpaced. CONSISTANT 15/2 also likes to track the leaders and its best time was recorded at this course and a reproduction of its best should be good enough. Paddys Rock has had 294 days off but is a three year old so could improve but may find this trip too short.

7:35 Windsor - Apricot Sky likes to track the pace but its times have been slow. Amadeus Wolfe Tone isn't in my top five with its hold up style of running. TIDENTIME 6/1 can either be held up or track the leaders and is my top rated and should like this course as its best time was recorded at Goodwood. Breccbennach likes to track the pace when it can but its times on good going are slow and may find this trip too short. O'Gorman also may find this trip too short and has only shown slow times but can be held up or track the pace. Dominate may prefer a slower surface and has only shown slow times at this trip on good or better going. Generalyse usually tracks the pace and its best time was recorded at this course and is my third top rated. Noverre To Go may prefer a flatter course and is usually held up but is only fourth on my figures. Jungle Bay can be held up or track the pace but isn't in my top four. Langley Vale is the only known front runner in the race and is my second top rated so could be hard to catch if getting an easy lead and this course should suit as its top two times were recorded at Epsom and Brighton. Italian Tom has only produced slow times but can be held up or track the leaders. Salvado has only had one run in England so could be an improver at only four years old. Time Medicean is my fifth top rated and is a hold up type so probably wont catch the leaders.

SUMMARY: 3:15 Carlisle - The selection is CONSISTANT 15/2 it stayed on well last time out when it finished second at Nottingham and will like this stiffer course more the only down side to the race is where the early pace will come from with no confirmed front runners in the field. 7:35 Windsor - Langley Vale is the likely leader and will be hard to catch and I'm surprised to see its priced at 20/1 but I'm going with TIDENTIME 6/1 to track the pacemaker and prove strongest in the closing stages.

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