SUMMARY: I have to go with MARIA MONTEZ 10/1. It looks overpriced to me and will hopefully at least make the frame. Looking at the prices shows that the bookies can't agree on what's going to win the odds for each horse vary quite a with varied firms. It is a race where stakes should be kept to a low level and I might also suggest a saver bet on Poetic Choice 11/2 just in case it gets and easy lead and saves something for the finish.
MARIA MONTEZ 16/1 UNP