Sunday, 23 November 2014

2:00 Wolverhampton Winning Race Tips (24th November) £20 RISK-FREE BET AT UNIBET HANDICAP (TAPETA)

1—Louis Vee can adopt any running style in a race but its final times have been too slow to register on my sliding scale graphs, it won two runs ago on good to soft ground on grass and if thats its requirement to win it may be better off at the now only slower surface at Southwell.
2—Pavers Bounty usually likes to track the early pace but its form in all of its five race career has been poor and I cannot see any reason why this three year old should all of sudden show a glimmer of form here.
3—Aaranyow is another that likes to track the leaders and on its time from its fastesst run recently over course and distance when it broke its duck after twenty nine runs puts it second on my figures but it only comes out seventh on the old times before the course was relaid, its hard to evaluate the form of the race with the course changing its surface for the third time quite recently.
4—Give Us A Belle is again a track the leaders type and it is third on my figures on old times but im put off its chances with the jockey booking who is winless after nine rides.
5—YOUR GIFTED has recorded the fastest time of the field over course and distance on both sets of figures and it can either track the pace or be held up and im hoping with three possible front runners the early pace will be fast.
6—Pearl Noir is another that prefers to track the leaders and is second on my figures from its last run at this distance, its last three runs have all been over six furlongs where it weakened inside the final furlong every run so back down in trip cannot be ignored.
7—Master Of Disguise is my fifth top rated and may find this trip too short as its stayed on regularly over five furlongs when its tracked the leaders but doesn't quite go the pace until its a bit too late and then stays on near the finish.
8—My Meteor hasn't got a time good enough to register on my figures and has tried seven times on the all weather and hasnt even managed to be in the frame yet, it can be held up or track the leaders but would need dramatic improvement to win this.
9—Shirley's Pride has produced a fast time on the all weather at Lingfield but its two previous runs on this course have been poor but it seems that the surface here is going to be on a par with Lingfield for being a fast surface, so it could be very much a danger to everything in this race.
10—Dancing Juice has had four all weather runs but hasn't made the frame in any of them even with its either prominent running style and it has been known to lead but time-wise would need to improve big time.
11—College Doll has produced a time only good enough for eighth place on my figures but did one time at Lingfield to push it to third so its hard to say exactly what this horse is going to do but cannot be dismissed lightly and is a definite danger.
12—Danzoe has done a time thats good enough for second or third position, depending which others form you add into the equation like the hidden dangers but would have place claims at its best but the stable hasnt been in very good form lately.
13—First Rebellion is a possible leader or he could track the pace and has a time to be fifth on the figures so must always have some sort of chance if others dont perform to their best.
SUMMARY: It's a very hard race to call with quite a few potential dangers who could be given a chance of winning the race for one reason or another so I cannot stress enough that it would be wise to keep stakes to a minimum. As usual, I always go with the top rated horse with the proven form so it has to be a small bet on YOUR GIFTED 6/1. I don't expect it to be at the front of affairs early on but could be held up or track the pace depending on how fast the pace is and hopefully will come home strongly.

Your Gifted 7/1 4th

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