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Sunday, 9 November 2014

5:50 Kempton Winning Race Tips (10th November) BOOK CHRISTMAS FESTIVAL TICKETS NOW HANDICAP

Paradise Spectre can either be held up or track the leaders and comes out third in my ratings so should have place claims if running to its best.

Swendab is quite versatile in how it can be ridden including front running but I doubt it will try that as this distance maybe a bit too far so it will more likely be held up to get the trip if its a trier. 

Bookmaker is my fourth top rated and can either be held up or track the leaders but unless others don't perform to their best I doubt this will run on enough to make the frame but never say never. 

Larghetto can be held up or track the leaders which is the style I would expect it to have any chance because I'm not sure this ones a sprinter and might prefer further. 

Blackthorn Stick usually likes to track the leaders which is just as well because this is another that I think might be better over a longer trip. 

Bubbly Bailey can track the leaders or may try to lead and being my second top rated that could well make it hard for anything else apart from my top rated catching it. 

TIME MEDICEAN 6/1 is my top rated and is usually a hold-up type of horse and will have plenty to aim at with four possible front runners. 

El Doque is one of two three-year- olds in the field and it usually tracks the leaders but hasn't recorded a time yet to put it in my top five. 

Hatta Stream hasn't shown anything much time-wise with its style of tracking the leaders so doubt it will be involved here. 

Salvado is a versatile horse with its running style and is my fifth top rated but something could be hidden by this one and make it a danger but I'll always go with the proven and its times are quite a few spots slower than the selection. 

Saskias Dream also likes to track the pace but may find it too short a trip so not for me here. 

Emily Davison is the other three-year-old and despite either tracking the leaders or leading its times have been too slow to register in my top five so it's not for me but it could have some improvement to come but it would need to be more than I think it's capable of.

SUMMARY: There looks like a few are capable of vying for the lead or pushing for a prominent position and could well play into the hands of a hold-up horse. If Bubbly Bailey gets an easy uncontested lead it could well keep enough in reserve to stay there but I'm sure it will be competitive at the head of the field. The selection TIME MEDICEAN 6/1 is a hold-up type. It has run four times over course and distance, two of those runs were in class five and four races which were too good for him. It won in this class in March this year by two lengths and second that day was Bubbly Bailey but it's only two pounds worse of today so cant see why the second should reverse the form unless it gets that unlikely uncontested lead, next time out over course and distance the selection finished third beaten three and a half lengths but the winning time was sixty spots faster and as a hold up type it couldn't make up the ground but there doesn't look to be anything capable of doing that here as the second top rated is the danger and already held on form by the selection.

Time Medicean 6/1 2nd

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