Wednesday, 5 November 2014

7:10 Wolverhampton Winning Race Tips (6th November) £20 RISK-FREE BET AT UNIBET CLAIMING STAKES (Tapeta) (CLASS 6) (3yo+)

Desert Strike can be held-up or can track the leader. It's only fifth on my figures so not for me. 

REALIZE can also be held-up or sit just off the pace - waiting to pounce and this is a drop in class. After winning in class five this gelding was raised to class four, then quickly dropped to class six here. I think while the horse is in form it can gain another win. 

Searchlight is a three-year-old that is also dropped in grade but I think it would be better at five-furlongs so may not get home. 

Stonefield Flyer likes to track the leaders and is my third top rated so should have place claims if it runs to its best and is another horse dropped in class but my top two are quite a few spots clear of the rest on their best form. 

Best Trip is usually tracking the early pace but it hasn't shown much this year at all and isn't in my top seven at its best. 

Commanche also likes to track the leaders but its form at this course is poor and not in my top seven either. 

Cape Of Hope likes to sit off the pace and is my sixth top rated so would need to improve to win. 

Ortac Rock can either track the leaders or even lead. It is one of only two in this race that have led before but I think Fitz Flyer may get an uncontested lead. It might improve enough to make the frame.

Powerful Pierre is a hold-up type and is second on my figures and if it gets a clear run should be involved with the finish.

Lewisham has not run at this course and not shown anything that would make me think it might be a hidden danger so not on my radar. 

Appease may find this trip too short so even though it can show early pace I think a true sprinter like Fitz Flyer might be away and gone too quickly for it here especially as it's only seventh on my list.

Pandar likes to track the leaders but only rates eight best so doubt this will be there at the finish.

SUMMARY: A difficult race to assess from a betting perspective as there are no early prices. However, if REALIZE is 8/1 or bigger it would have to be an each-way bet.

Realise 2/1 1st

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