1> Baddilini is usually either held up or can track the leaders and of the six runners it comes out second best on my figures and ran very well last time out when second behind Secondo over this course and distance and I think this is the only one that should get anywhere near the selection.
2> PRETEND is a three year old who already tops my figures and by quite a few spots also its the only known front runner in the field it won quite nicely here over course and distance when beating Boom The Groom who has also been in good form lately and if its allowed to get an uncontested lead should win again quite easily.
3> Red Refraction has been out of form recently and its last four runs have been very poor it is usually either held up or tracks the leaders but either way it doesnt look good enough to win this and I think it would probably need a slower surface to show its best.
4> Smokethatthunders prefers to track the early pace makers and comes out third here but quite a few spots behind the second best but it looks like it will be staying on at the finish and may be better over another furlong.
5> Swiss Cross is another that likes to track the leaders and is my fourth top rated and may be better over further but its recent form has been quite a way off the mark and it needs to show a drastic turn of form to even feature here but will most likely be staying on at the end.
6> Woolfall Sovereign ran quite well when fourth last time out with a nine month absence to overcome and I expect this horse to be nearly ready to win again but I think it might prefer a slower surface and a shorter distance, so doubt if today is the day for it to return to winning form.
SUMMARY: Only six runner race but I think its only a two runner race, if the selection PRETEND repeats its last win I cannot see anything here getting near it and if Baddilini is ridden to its best looks nailed on to finish second for the forecast. I have looked at the tissue prices and its saying 11/8 I think anything above even money is very good and the tissue is making Baddilini third in the betting and if the price is too short maybe the forecast is the way to make it a good bet.
Pretend 1/4f 1st