Tuesday, 2 December 2014

2:30 Lingfield Winning Race Tips (3rd December) £20 RISK-FREE BET AT UNIBET HANDICAP (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-105)

There ares only six runners but still a tricky class two race to try and work out. Medician Man has done a time on grass that would win this but hasn't done anything like that time on the all-weather. Dungannon is back to five furlongs where it's more effective but I think it would be better off at Southwell with its slower surface. Sleepy Sioux is a three year old so could still be improving but it hasn't produced enough time-wise for me to suggest it can win but never say never with these younger horses. BALLISTA 10/1 will be much better now back to five-furlongs and at its best it has done the fastest time and I'm hoping the switch back to this trip will rejuvenate its form. Boom The Groom has ran well lately and was only just beaten by Sleepy Sioux and I'm not sure if this track will suit it enough to reproduce its last run at Wolverhampton. Picansort has run some fast times but I doubt its class enough to win this race.
7:20 Kempton - A lowly class six race where half the field look very poor. There are four horses in the race that have led before but none of them are in my top seven ratings, Reginald Claude is my third top rated but its best time wasn't from this course so may not reproduce its best figure here. Second top is Time Medicean who is a hold-up type but will do well to avoid the scramble for the lead from stall five with possible front runners being drawn from stall ten to stall two so I expect there will be some battling for a early position. My top rated is NEW RICH 9/2 who is also a hold-up type and is drawn in stall eleven and usually that would put me off a bit but if they do scramble for the lead from stall ten and lower it could leave the selection away from any trouble and it could get a nice early position and come home the strongest.
SUMMARY: The 2:30 Lingfield - quite tricky a race but my top rated must have a chance now back at five furlongs but it's not a race I would be betting very heavily but I can't let the race go without a small bet on BALLISTA 10/1 at the price. In the 7:20 Kempton - I have already detailed my opinion of NEW RICH 9/2 getting a clear run being on the outside of all the probable pace-makers and it can hopefully prove the strongest at the finish.

Ballista 5th
New Rich 9/2 1st

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