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WINNER - WINNER - WINNER - LATEST WINNER - DOCTOR SARDONICAS 16/1 1ST

Tuesday, 16 December 2014

3:10 Lingfield Winning Race Tips (17th December) UNIBET HANDICAP (CLASS 6) (3yo+ 0-65)

1>Chevise is my fifth top rated. It usually likes to track the leaders and was dropped to class six for its last two runs. It won last time out but that was a slow time and then it only took command in the last seventy-five yards. I doubt these will be as easy to beat.
2> Al's Memory can be held up or track the leaders but is only seventh on my figures and may prefer another furlong to show it best but it is dropped in class but maybe even that won't be enough for it to win this.
3>Ghost Train can track the leaders or be held up and is fourth best on my figures. It has been running fairly consistently lately so it will probably give another bold show and could make the frame if all of my top three don't perform to their best.
4>Logan's Lad hasn't run over this course and distance but has been over this distance at Wolverhampton, which is riding fast these days. But its times weren't good enough to register in my top eight.
5>KUANYAO can track the leaders or can take the lead and is the only known front runner in the field and had been running in better class races. It's not run since August sixteenth but has won after a break before and is my top rated and if it gets an easy lead it could go well.
6>Ostralegus has only produced slow times over the course and distance plus I think it might prefer a longer trip so may be outpaced in this race.
7>Tom Hall has only had four runs in its life and the last one was over two years ago. The form of those races is quite poor so not for me here and may lack fitness.
8>Assertive Agent can be held up or track the leaders but only comes out eighth on my figures and hasn't run for three months and those last two runs on the all-weather were poor.
9>Volito had two runs in November at Wolverhampton and finished last in both of them. It's a hold-up horse and fifth on my ratings so may not catch the early pace maker.
10>Compton Prince is well weighted on its best form and is my third top rated and finished in the frame last time out when only beaten two-lengths but the time wasn't very fast and isn't very reliable with only two wins from twenty-nine races in three years.
11>Indus Valley hasn't run over this course and distance and may prefer a longer trip. Its best time from Kempton wouldn't put it in my top seven so doubt it can win this race.
12>Saskia's Dream is very well weighted on its best form and comes out second top. It can either track the leaders or be held up but was beaten last time out by Chevise in a very slow time but is weighted to reverse the form but it wasn't really an improvement in form after two poor runs in October.
SUMMARY: If KUANYAO 18/1 is fit enough to do itself justice after being off since August its price is much too big an must have at least an each-way chance especially if it gets an easy lead.
5:40 Kempton
There's only one known front runner in this race and I'm thinking that RIGOLLETO 8/1 could get an easy lead. If it does, it could be very hard to catch. Its only all-weather win was over this course and distance and I'm hoping its first race back on this course since February earlier this year will see it revitalised. I've got CLASSIC PURSUIT 11/2 level on figures and this one likes to either be held up or track the leaders but if it lets Rigolletto get the easy lead it might not catch it but it must have a chance as well.
SUMMARY: I would suggest backing RIGOLLETTO 8/1 at the odds and then back CLASSIC PURSUIT 11/2 to make a profit whichever one wins.

Kuanyao 18/1 Unp
Rigolletto 8/1 Unp
Classic Pursuit 11/2 Unp

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