There are only nine runners in each division of this race but three of them have been known to lead before but neither Pearl Noir or Warm Order have a time to make my top four. It's very very close between my top two but Quality Art is usually either held up or tracks the leaders but what swings it for me is that BUBBLY BAILEY 5/2 is the most likely leader here and then might not be for the catching.
4:45 Kempton - This division is the weaker of the two in my mind. I've got it down to two runners again: Mossgo and FIRST REBELLION 5/1. There's only one known front runner in the field and that's the selection. If it gets an easy lead it could well lead all the way.
5:15 Kempton - Same distance again but this is a class four race and I bit trickier to solve. Four horses have led before: Baytown Kestrel, Royal Aquisition my sixth rating, Royal Bajan my fifth top rating, and Searchlight my fourth top, so I think it might be set up for a finisher. Triple Dream and Six Wives my third and second top ratings are both track the leaders type of horse. Six Wives has to have some sort of chance at its best but has been out of form for a while now which puts me off but I think it may need a hold-up type to win this and my top rated DIAMOND CHARLIE 12/1 can be held up but once again its very tight between my top two.
SUMMARY: 4:15 Kempton - I am going with the selection BUBBLY BAILEY 5/2 who I think might lead all the way. I think a cover bet on Quality Art 6/1 might just be wise as its very close if it decides to run to its best. 4:45 Kempton - Once again I'm sticking with the top rated FIRST REBELLION 5/1 who I think will try to lead all the way but also once again its close at the top and the danger has to be Mossgo 11/4 so maybe another cover bet. 5:15 Kempton - This race may play into the hands of the hold-up tactics of DIAMOND CHARLIE 12/1 with four known front runners.
Bubbly Bailey 5/2 Unp
First Rebellion 5/1 2nd
Diamond Charlie 16/1 1st