12:05 Southwell - A strange race with five horses that have been known to lead before but none of them are in my top six ratings but then only one of my top six has shown much form lately and that's my sixth top rating Imaginary Diva. Ladydolly is top rated but that time was from 2012 and its three runs in the last two seasons have been very poor. I'll leave this race alone.
1:50 Southwell - Ten runners with three that have led before but none of them are in my top three. I've got joint second top ratings with Woolfall Sovereign who hasn't run for 287 days and Oriental Relation who has run good times in class four and five races but whenever stepped up to class three hasn't been able to cope. All three top rated stables are not in form. The top rated is Royal Bajan but once again I'm not sure if it's quite good enough to win in a class three race so I'm leaving this one alone as well.
6:15 Wolverhampton - A class three race but there are no known front runner so this always puts me off going in very heavily as I can't get an idea of how the race might pan out. Top third rated is Amadeus Wolfe Tone, whilst second best is Good Authority. Top ranked is REALIZE 3/1 who won last time out but its first attempt in this class and I would normally be wary of this fact but because, in my opinion, it looks a weak race and none have proved to be this class recently, I will suggest having a small bet.
6:45 Wolverhampton - Three horses in this race have led before: Point North and Fathom Five don't make my top five, whilst the third possible leader Kodafine is my fourth top rated. Third top is the three-year-old Wedewood Estates and second top is Hamis Al Bin - must have place claims if getting clear runs. Top rated is INSOLENCEOFOFFICE 6/1 who won the time before last when it sat just behind the early pace. Last time out it was held up and given too much to do but stayed on well to finish third. A repeat of its winning run should be enough to taste victory here.
7:15 Wolverhampton - I've narrowed this race down to two runners as they have quite a few spots in hand on the rest of the field. Second best Mey Blossom doesn't win very often nowadays but would be a danger if it decided to do its best. There's only one known front runner and it's also my top rated: SPOWARTICUS 6/1. It should be able to lead all the way.
SUMMARY: Leave the two races at Southwell alone. 6:15 Wolverhampton - REALIZE 3/1 is my suggestion but I wouldn't recommend betting too heavily in the race because I think Amadeus Wolfe Tone and Good Authority can't be easily discounted. 6:45 Wolverhampton - My second top rated Hamis Al Bin might get sqeezed out early by Kodafine who will most likely try to grab the rails from stall five, which leaves it open for INSOLENCEOFOFFICE 6/1 to track the likely leader from stall eight and stay on the strongest at the finish. 7:15 Wolverhampton - Being drawn in stall one SPOWARTICUS 6/1 will attempt to lead all the way and if reproducing its best run should hold them all at bay.
Realize 3/1 Unp
Insolenceofoffice 6/1 4th
Spowarticus 6/1 2nd