Thursday, 22 January 2015

2:35 Lingfield Winning Race Tips (23rd January) UNIBET OFFER DAILY JOCKEY/TRAINER SPECIALS HANDICAP (CLASS 6) (4yo+ 0-60)

1-Bubbly Bailey is a possible front runner especially from stall three but with three other possible front runners it might have an early battle for the lead. It is my second top rated so would be hard to catch if it gets to the front. 

2-Spray Tan is usually either held up or it tracks the leaders and could be a bit of a hidden danger but with a lot of early speed this might not be its opportunity. 

3-Lupo D'Oro is nought from six tries on the all-weather and its best time recorded at Kempton would only put it sixth so needs to improve a lot and also it may prefer a longer trip. 

4-Burnt Cream is my top rated and it's usually a hold-up type and this race could be run to suit its style of running. It won last time out over this course and distance in a fast time and a repeat of that run would be good enough to win this race. 

5-Swendab may find this trip a bit too short and things happening to quickly for it to be involved early on but should be staying on at the finish especially so if they go too fast in front. 

6-First Rebellion is another that can lead a race or at least be up near the front but stall nine may not help its cause. It's fourth or fifth on my figures so I'm doubtful it could win but it might sneak a place if others fail to perform to their best. 

7-Kodafine is the third of four possible leaders and this one is third or fourth on my ratings and a prime draw in stall one, so it could be battling with Bubbly Bailey for the lead on the rail but it's capable of making the frame if things fall its way. 

8-Imjin River is either fifth or third on my figures and can be held-up or track the pace but I think it will be better over six-furlongs and could get outpaced here but it should be staying on at the finish. 

9-Tolly McGuiness is the fourth possible front runner and isn't too badly drawn in stall five but it had seven previous runs on the all-weather with only one third place to show for its efforts it could possibly be a hidden danger but I'm doubtful it will be here. 

SUMMARY: With four possible front runners, and my second top rated being one of them, this could be a fast run race for the class but it may play into the hands of a hold-up type of horse and the selection BURNT CREAM 4/1 is the only genuine hold-up horse in the race and a reproduction of its last run over this course and distance, where it won, would be good enough for a follow-up win and its got a good draw to get a good early position.

Burnt Cream 4/1 3rd

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