Tuesday, 3 February 2015

2:05 Kempton Winning Race Tips (4th February) JOIN THE RACING UK CLUB HANDICAP

1> Studfarmer may be too short a distance for it to show its best but this is the lowest class seven race and it comes out fourth best so will probably be concerned with the finish as long as it doesn't get outpaced too much early on. 

2> Two Turtle Doves has run some reasonably fast times on the all weather but it has no recent form at this course to work with and all of its recent runs have been at Wolverhampton but it has had fourteen runs on the all weather without winning, it could make the frame if taking to this surface. 

3> Saved My Bacon usually likes to track the leaders but hasn't run at this course before and from six runs its still not won a race but its looking like it might prefer slower surfaces than this. 

4> China Excels is one of two known front runners in the field but its had nine runs on the all weather without winning and I'm not sure what surface it needs but it hasn't run here before so it may be a hidden danger. 

5> MOSSGO is either held up or can track the leaders and has drawn stall one so it should be able to get a good early position and it is top of my figures if only by one spot but the jockey has ridden twenty five times for this stable without winning which puts me off the horse a little but I'm fairly sure it cant have been done on purpose as David Probert is a good jockey. 

6> Fleeting Indian is another one that might find this trip too short it hasn't won from twenty career runs to date which doesn't inspire any confidence and its not in my top four. 

7> Imaginary Diva is drawn in stall five which isn't too bad with the two possible front runners being in stalls four and seven and could suit its style of tracking the early pace aas long as it doesn't get balked and is my second top rated and only one spot off top place, this ones statistics concerning the stable/jockey/recent form are all quite decent. 

8> Spic N Span is the other possible front runner and is my third top rated but its last few runs its only tracked the leaders but here it could try and lead all the way so must at least have place claims but if it gets an uncontested lead it could cause the others problems in catching it. 

9> Sweet Piccolo hasn't won a race from eleven attempts on all surfaces it does prefer to track the early pace which it needs to do at this distance as it may be better over further. 

10> Quantum Dot may also find this trip too short and is naught from sixteen in attempts to win a race and once again needs to track the pace at this distance to have any chance. 

SUMMARY: It's fairly tight at the top with only one spot seperating the top two and my third top rated, Spic n Span may get an easy lead which surprises me to see it quoted at 14/1 so could be a worthy a small each way bet , Imaginary Diva is also a 14/1 and could also be an each way shot but my top rated MOSSGO 8/1 is well drawn in stall one but it still bugs me that the jockey hasnt won for the stable in the last five years which makes me suggest a small each way bet and hope he can break his duck for the yard

Mossgo 8/1 2nd

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