Sunday, 15 February 2015

4:10 Wolverhampton Winning Race Tips (16th February) DAILY ENHANCED "MAGIC MULTIPLES" AT UNIBET HANDICAP (TAPETA)

1— Masamah hasn't attained any level of form at this course since the surface changed. This grey gelding is capable of running any race tactics including leading so not really sure what he's capable of today.
2— Zac Brown has been in decent form of late and is another versatile runner. Its time over course and distance isn't fast and I'm wondering if it's really a class two horse.
3— Boom The Groom is another horse that's been in decent form and recorded the fastest time of any in the race over this distance. However, isn't best handicapped but is definitely capable of winning in this class and may possibly lead, It has place claims at least.
4— Steelriver may prefer a longer trip and may be outpaced early but should stay on at the finish. It might not be quick enough to be a threat and has no form on this surface making assessment difficult.
5— Basil Berry is another gelding that may prefer a longer trip and has no form on this surface so I'm not sure what it's capable of doing achieving. It looks good enough in class three but hasn't done so well in this higher class and not for me.
6— Royal Bajan is another possible leader. It's not quite capable of winning in this class and may struggle. It has no form on this new surface so I can't be completely sure of what it can achieve.
7— Mappin Time is either held up or tracks the leaders and like a lot of the runners in this race it has no form on this surface. I think it might be better at Southwell, wit its much slower going.
8— Megaleka has recorded a time on this surface but it wasn't very quick! It is only fourth rated and quite a few spots away from the third top rated. It usually likes to track the early pace but it could be a hidden danger.
9— Long Awaited has no form on this surface and likes to track the leaders but its impossible to know what it's going to do. It recorded a very fast time at this distance on good to firm ground so this Tapeta surface should suit and it wouldn't surprise me if it ran a big race here so. It must have place claims at least.
10— Invincible Ridge is very well handicapped on its times here and comes out second best rated but I'm very doubtful if it's good enough to shine in this higher class but it usually tracks the pace so if good enough it will need to be up with the pace. I think it may get outpaced early.
11— Dynamo Walt is the one that come out best on my ratings and another horse that's usually up with the early pace without leading. Derek Shaw's bottom weight may be outclassed in this grade (some 20lb lower than the top weight) so may not be able to stay with these classier horses early on.
SUMMARY: A very good class two sprint but two main problems. Firstly, there's a shortage of form to assess horses on this new surface so it is more of a guess than usual. Secondly, all known leader are drawn in the four outside stalls, so those inside of them could be squeezed for room early on or something unexpected may try to lead from a lower-drawn stall. Its the usual problem of class versus speed but I'm going with BOOM THE GROOM 15/2 who looks the best when considering class and speed. This colt didn't run very well last time out over six furlongs at Lingfield but now back over the minimum trip should get a clear run from the widest stall in eleven. The draw does temper enthusiasm but, as usual, I'll go with the proven facts.

Boom The Groom 15/2 Unp

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