Friday, 13 February 2015

4:45 Lingfield Winning Race Tips (14th February) UNIBET HANDICAP

1— Smidgen can be versatile with its running style including leading and has drawn stall five which isn't too bad but its best time was recorded at Kempton but it doesn't make my top five ratings. 
2— Byron's Gold is another horse that is versatile with the way it runs and also a possible leader but has been drawn in stall eight so will have to be on its toes to get to the lead from this wide but its times have been so slow they don't register on my graphs.
3— Noverre To Go can be held up or track the leaders and on times from this course only it makes it the top rated and could get a clear run from stall nine as the front runners are housed in stalls two, four, five and eight so there could be a shortage of room on the inside.
4— Skinny Love could be one of the likely leaders but its times don't put it in my top five but it is best drawn of the possible leaders from stall two but that's not enough to make it a danger.
5— Tychaios could be a bit of a hidden danger in this race and its best time recorded at Kempton puts it into second place on my figures but its times at this course haven,t been as fast so exactly how it will run here is still in the air but i'll stick with the facts.
6— Gabrials Wawa might be an even better horse over a longer trip but it still makes fourth or fifth place in my ratings depending what times you use for other horses so if they go too fast in front his stamina could come into play but it would only take one of the other top three to run to their best to beat it.
7— Rigolleto is my third or fourth top rated and is another possible leader and has been drawn in stall four so could have some chance to make the frame as its recorded the fastest time of all the known front runners and it gets its own way in front it could prove hard to catch.
8— Bush Warrior has recorded a reasonably fast time but over five furlongs and was running on at the finish so the sixth furlong here might play into its strengths and that could make it a slightly hidden danger and cant be easily omitted and could make the frame.
9— Black Dave may find this trip on the short side so luckily it usually likes to track the early pace but its final times have been comparably slow so not for me in this race.
10— Encapsulated has times at both here and at Kempton which are quite close and makes it my third top rated so should have place claims but all its recent runs have been in classes six and seven so it might be outclassed a little in this so I doubt it can win the race.
SUMMARY:There could be a few maybe's or hidden dangers in this race so I cant suggest going in too heavily with any bets, the favourite Gabrials Wawa is in my opinion a bit too short at 7/4 but this race could play into its hands if they go too fast up the front because it might really like another furlong but it could also find early trouble if Byron's Gold drawn in the stall next to it but slightly wider tries to lead but im sticking with my top rated and it comes out top on both its Kempton form and its form here at Lingfield so im hoping the jockey on NOVERRE TO GO 25/1 can get a good early position from stall nine and come home the strongest but at the odds it may be best to take out some insurance with an each way bet just in case it doesnt get a clear run when trying to make a forward move.

Noverre To Go 25/1 Unp

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