A slightly different blog tonight for you all to digest. I'm changing things because by doing an abbreviated analysis of each race I missed out some useful if not vital information, so tonight I'm going to do a short analysis of four of the races then do a more thorough blog of the fifth race.
3:30 Lingfield - has twelve runners but not one of them is known as a front runner so its hard to get an image of how the race might pan out, Saskias Dream is my top rated whilst Compton Prince is second top but this one is ridden by a seven pound claiming apprentice and if you deduct this weight it makes this the top rated but whether the apprentice is worth his weight in this race I'm not sure because hes never ridden for this trainer before, so I don't know which one to put up as the selection.
5:45 Wolverhampton - is a poor class seven race so not one to get heavily involved in and even more so when you add in the fact its an apprentice race but the top rated is BLACK TRUFFLE and its not badly drawn in stall four so must have some degree of a chance to run a big race. Black Truffle NR
6:45 Wolverhampton - is another poor race and its not one I'm going to get involved in for the purpose of putting up a selection, my top four are all from stables that are in poor form and there's four possible pace setters and Warm Order from stall one is ideally drawn in stall one to follow up its win last time out over this course and distance but Loius Vee is drawn in stall three and this one might also vie for the lead add in Quality Art and Redalani its not completely clear what will manage to get to the front and from my ratings you add Ability N Delivery and Master Of Disguise to be finishing well it makes the picture fairly unclear.
7.15 Wolverhampton - the second division of the race and this time there's only Prigsnov Dancer who has been known to lead before and stall one is a help for its cause and you can never say never if a horse gets an uncontested lead but its not in my top four ratings, Salvado is my originally top rated and has got a good draw in stall two so its on my shortlist, My Meteor is the other horse on my shortlist, its second on my base ratings but moves to the top when you take into account the very good five pound claimer in the saddle this time out and stall five ain't a bad draw.
7:45 Wolverhampton -
1—Bilash a hold up type but its not in my top four.
2—Simply Black drawn stall seven usually tracks the leaders and is my second top rated.
3—Give Us A Belle has been known to lead before and my fourth top rated but drawn stall nine.
4—Mambo Spirit may find this trip too short and get outpaced.
5—Clock Opera may also find this trip too short and has a wide draw in stall ten.
6—Rylee Mooch may prefer a slower surface and has got the widest stall to overcome.
7—Your Gifted can be held up or track the leaders and stall fours not too bad.
8—SPRAY TAN likes to track the leaders and has got stall three which will help and at its best has a few spots in hand and if its ridden prominently this time it has a good chance.
9—Danzoe likes to track the pace but isnt in my top four but may struggle from stall eight.
10—First Rebellion is another that may possibly try to lead from stall five but its not in my top four.
11—De Repente has got the prime draw in stall one and has been known to lead before and is my third top rated so should have at least place claims.
12—Wedgewood Estates may need a longer trip and is either held up or tracks the leaders.
SUMMARY: 3:30 Lingfield - Not a race to bet in heavily if at all. My two horses against the field are SASKIAS DREAM 10/1 + COMPTON PRINCE 8/1. 5:45 Wolverhampton - A class seven and apprentice race so low stakes if you have to bet. Top rated is BLACK TRUFFLE (NR) 5/1. 6:45 Wolverhampton - My top four ratings all come from stables well out of form so there's no bet from me in this race. 7:15 Wolverhampton - A race where the apprentices allowance swings the ratings between SALVADO 7/2 and MY METEOR 16/1 so I suggest a small win bet on the former and a small each-way bet on the second to hopefully show a profit. 7:45 Wolverhampton - As they say, save the best for last, here I'm siding with SPRAY TAN 10/1 who at the odds has to be given as an each-way bet and it does have a few spots in hand on its best time.
Saskia's Dream 10/1 3rd
Compton Place 8/1 2nd
Black Truffle NR
Salvado 7/2 3rd
My Meteor 16/1 Unp
Spray Tan 10/1 Unp