Wednesday, 25 March 2015
1:50 Wolverhampton Winning Race Tips (26th March) UNIBET OFFER DAILY JOCKEY/TRAINER SPECIALS HANDICAP
1— Master Of Disguise usually likes to track the leaders and actually is my top rated but is being ridden by an apprentice who has only had seven rides all for this stable but had no winners which on its own wouldn't put me off completely but the trainer hasn't had a winner since last September from forty runners so those two negatives together put me off and I've added seven pounds to its rating so slips down to second top rated.
2— Qatar Princess can either track the leaders or be held up and comes out second on my ratings but when I add the extra weight to the top weight this now becomes the top rated and therefore my selection.
3— Lazy Sioux can be held up or sit just behind the pace makers and comes out fifth on my ratings and has the widest draw to overcome as well.
4— Fleeting Indian isn't in my top five and may find this trip too short to show its best but has had twelve all weather races plus ten on the grass so twenty two in total but this six year old is still a maiden.
5— Forceful Beacon has only ever had ten runs which isn't many for a five year old but it is still a maiden but its best result was when second over this course and distance two tuns ago but that only puts it third on my figures so could make the frame and can track the leaders or be held up.
6— Lizzy's Dream was out of form last year and its one recent run does not bolster confidence and its best time doesn't get it into my top five so quite easily overlooked.
7— Bond Blade can be held up or track the leaders and is my fourth top rated but may really need a slower surface to show its best form so its not for me here.
8— Auntie Dif has only had four runs and all of that form was poor so would need to improve beyond all realms of reasoning to win this so easily dismissed from my calculations.
SUMMARY: I'm going with QATAR PRINCESS 14/1 as the selection the only concern I've got is about whats going to lead as there's no known front runners but I think this horse is capable of winning even if it does become a tactical race.
7:15 Chelmsford - Only seven runners so no each way bets but with three horses in the race that have been known to lead before hopefully it will be a fast early pace which will play into the selections hands as it likes to come fast and late when the others have cried enough, I quite expect Gung Ho Jack to try to lead from stall three and is my third top rated but only from times at this relatively new course, second top rated is Amenable who likes to either track the leaders or be held up whilst my top rated again is INVIGILATOR 7/2 second favourite and this one really needs a fast pace to aim at and if those in front slow the pace down so they have reserved some energy for the finish it could spoil the selections chances.
Qatar Princess 14/1 2nd
Invigilator 7/2 3rd