Thursday, 2 April 2015

2:10 Lingfield Winning Race Tips (3rd April) UNIBET ALL-WEATHER SPRINT CHAMPIONSHIPS CONDITIONS STAKES (CLASS 2) (4yo+)

1 — Alben Star is my third top rated and has a prime draw in stall one so should be able to gain a good position early in the race. 

2 — Basil Berry may find this trip on the short side which means it's not really a sprinter and at this trip its time has been slow. 

3 — Boom The Groom is usually a hold up type and is drawn in stall seven which could be an asset here as there's five horses that have led before and they are all drawn in stall six or lower, so with a clear run it has place claims. 

4 — Brother Tiger has won its last two races here but over five furlongs and it does appear to be better over the shorter trip so may need to be held up to attempt to get the distance. 

5 — Chookie Royale hasn't got any form over this course and distance but it looks like it might prefer a longer trip but is versatile with its running style including leading. 

6 — Foxtrot Romeo is fifth on my figures and one of the five possible front runners but it will need to improve time-wise to even make the frame. 

7 — Glen Moss is the sixth best rated but it does have some degree of being a hidden danger but not sure it will happen in this race. 

8 — Intransigent is another that could be a hidden danger and is fourth best so could have some degree of a chance to make the frame. 

9 — Oriental Relation can lead or track the leaders and if it gets an uncontested run it will be a hidden danger but I doubt it will be in this race. 

10 — Pretend has been very impressive when winning its last two races and looks a much improved horse this season. I've been a bit wary as the sprint trips would suit it but it dropped to this distance last time out and still looked easily good enough even at this distance so cannot be discarded. 

11- Rivellino won well first time out after a seven month absence and will probably improve for that run the biggest negative is that it's drawn out in stall eleven which isn't ideal. 

12 — Showtime Star usually likes to track the leaders but I think it's a better horse on a slower surface so doubt it will feature here. 

SUMMARY: A very nice class two conditions race where they all level weight. On official ratings, Chookie Royale comes out top but may want further to show its best but if gets the lead and can set its own pace then it would be a danger. Pretend comes out second on official figures and is still improving but will this be a step too far? Top rated RIVELLINO 10/1 has got a decent chance and only the draw casts a negative shadow over its chances but with a clear run I'm hopeful it can at least make the frame so an each-way bet at the price looks the sensible bet. 

At Musselburgh the going is given as good to soft and soft in places so it doesn't look like it will be firm enough for me to suggest a selection which is a tad annoying as I've done all the work on both races and was quite looking forward to watching my selections, Robot Boy and Imperial Legend, running but I won't be backing either if there's cut in the going, so it looks like I wasted my time going through the form for the races.

Rivellino 10/1 7th

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