A poor class five race with fourteen runners and five of them have been known to lead before, two of the five are Bearskin and Rock Canyon who are not what I would call natural front runners and would only usually lead if nothing else wanted to but theres three more natural front runners, Gonindaethat who might find this trip too short so might not have enough early speed to lead all of these, Chookies Lass could possibly be a danger but the top rated is JINKY 7/1 who also can lead and if this one gets to the front will be very hard to beat but not having had a run for nearly two hundred days does temper any confidence, so stakes should be kept on the low side.
2:40 Southwell - a very poor class six race with ten runners and Maltease Ah who could lead if nothing else wanted to so will probably track the leaders, College Doll could lead but its been woefully out of form lately, Imjin River is my second top rated but is another that's been out of form lately but at this level consistency isn't in much evidence and any of them can spring back into winning form without warning, Kuanyao is my top rated but only just but is also a possible leader but this one has also been out of form lately and this ones stable isnt firing either, so probably a race to leave alone.
3:00 AYR - Another class five race but quite a bit better than the previous race here, eleven runners with five of them having led before, Lexington Place, my second top joint rated, and Clever Love are more likely to only lead when nothing else wanted to so maybe not this time, Jumbo Steps and Alaskan Wing may not be fast enough to lead this race, ive got Go Go Green and Bunce down as my joint fourth top rated and Ambitious Icarus is my joint second top, my top rated is ROY'S LEGACY 5/1 and its the fifth horse that's been known to lead and if this does get to the front will be hard to catch.
4:45 Southwell - Only seven runners with both Spowarticus, who might prefer a faster surface, and Pull The Pin likely to try and set the pace but they are not in my top three, third top is Spitfire who can be held up or track the pace setters, second top is Amenable who usually tracks the leaders but top rated is LUCKY MARK 11/2 who can lead or track the early pace and this one stable isn't in too bad a form but it is a race to keep the stakes to a sensible level.
8:20 Wolverhampton - Thirteen runners but only Swendab having been known to lead before and it only usually does so when nothing else wants to so could here but is drawn out in stall twelve so has to come across virtually the whole field and is only sixth on my figures, Black Truffle who may really prefer further is my third top rated so should be staying on at the finish, Hamis Al Bin who I'm afraid to say hasn't tried a couple of times lately and the stable keeps running it to get its official rating down to a level where they think it can win again but what their target is I'm not quite sure plus its ridden here by an apprentice and has also got stall ten going against it, top rated is Master Of Disguise but this horse is on a long losing run since January 2012 and at nine years of age its not going to improve but its now racing off its lowest ever rating so could come back to form but when I've got no idea so maybe another race to leave alone.
Jinky 9/1 1st
Roy's Legacy 11/2 5th
Lucky Mark 11/2 Unp