1 — Billy Red usually leads or tracks the leaders but may not get its own way in this race and isn't well drawn in stall nine, it has only had one run on this new surface and ran very badly so I will need to see some evidence it can act well here before I would back it.
2 — Little Eli is versatile when it comes to its running style and I doubt it will be able to lead here as it's only eighth on my figures and may get squeezed in the early stages.
3 — Archie Stevens likes to track the leaders and is my fifth top rated but is drawn out in stall eleven so will need some luck to get a clear run and would need others to fail to even make the frame.
4 — Bogsnog may find this trip too short and isn't in my top five but has been drawn in stall one but that isn't always an advantage if it's not a front runner.
5 — Give Us A Belle is a possible front runner and has been drawn in stall seven and may be able to either get to the front or at least be just behind the leaders.
6 — Rise To Glory is my seventh top rated and is another possible front runner but is out in stall ten which wont help o its not for me in this race.
7 — Your Gifted can either be held up or track the leaders and is my second top rated, if you take the seven pound apprentices allowance it becomes the top rated but the jockey has only had one winner from twenty-nine rides for the stable, so I'm not adding or taking weight off on my calculations so it stays as my second top rated and from stall five could be squeezed for room early in the race.
8 — Daring Dragon can track the leaders or be held up and may struggle to find space early in the race but it has been very much out of form recently but at its best it's my third top rated but could have place claims if it came back to form.
9 — Deftera Fantutte has only had eight races to date and is still a maiden, it can deploy any type of tactics in a race including leading but maybe not from stall eight so its not for me but could be a hidden danger under the right conditions.
10 — Dream Sika is the sixth horse that could try to lead and has the best draw in stall two to attempt to lead all the way but its time only makes it fourth on my ratings but could well run a decent race and make the frame.
11 — Risky Rizkova has got very poor recent form but this going may be too fast for it to show its best and from stall three I can see it being squeezed for room early doors.
SUMMARY: It will depend which horse or horses get a good early position to try to solve the race, obviously Dream Sika has the best draw in stall two and if it does get to the front it may well make the frame. My second top rated is Your Gifted but this one is drawn in stall five and may not get a clear run from that position and needs a bit of luck to make the frame. Top rated GIVE US A BELLE 5/1 is drawn in stall seven and will hopefully either get to the front or at least get a good early position just behind the leaders and then stay on the strongest, it's ridden by Adam Kirby who has won two races from six rides for the stable which is a positive for my thinking.
Give Us A Belle 5/1 1st