Sunday, 3 May 2015

1:40 Windsor Winning Race Tips (4th May) TOTEPOOL RACING´S BIGGEST SUPPORTER HANDICAP (Div I)

Ten runners in the first division of this race with Eleusis who could be a slightly hidden danger but maybe not here and my second top rating Mia San Triple having been known to lead before so if this one gets to the front not many of the others may get involved, my third top rated is Dilguru who actually recorded its best time over a five and a half furlong trip at Bath so it will be interesting to see if this one can keep up the speed for the extra half a furlong, my top rated is Links Drive Lady who is usually a hold up type so should be staying on at the finish, theres nothing from its statistics to say it wont be a trier here. I'm going with the notion of backing both the top rated *LINKS DRIVE LADY 7/1 (NR) and MIA SAN TRIPLE 3/1 who might just get an uncontested early lead and be very hard to catch and with Jamie Spencer riding he'll make it hard for the others to pass him. 

1:55 Bath - Nine runners in a quite poor class six race with only the top three in the handicap having done a time good enough to register on my graphs but the two horses that have been known to lead before, Douneedahand and Emily Davison are not in the three top weights, third top is The Wee Chief who would really like a longer trip, second top is Two Turtle Doves who can be held up or track the leaders, the top position goes to TRIPLE DREAM 14/1 who usually prefers to track the leaders and will hopefully stay on the strongly against these in this race and at least make the frame and at the price has to be an each way bet to low stakes. 

2:15 Windsor - The second division of the race with nine runners and three possible front runners, Bushcraft who could be a bit of a hidden danger but it might not blossom here, Smidgen who is also another possible hidden danger but this is quite a decent race so would need to improve greatly, Syrian Pearl who is my original fourth top rated but is being ridden by a seven pound claiming apprentice which moves it into top spot by just one spot but the apprentice has ridden six times for the stable without success so I'm not going to take off the seven pounds and leave it in fourth spot, third top is Light From Mars but once again being ridden by an apprentice who has ridden one winner from thirteen attempts and it only moves it into joint top rated but I'm a little wary of whether hes worth his five pound claim, second top is Slip Sliding Away ridden by a three pound claimer which moves it to the top spot by one spot, the jockey has ridden four times for the yard without winning which isn't really enough data to have a definite view but the stable has had eighteen runners here without a win so that puts me off. The top spot goes to KINGLAMI 11/2 the trainer has had three winners from nine runners at this course with his older horses, the jockey has won five times from six runs on older horses but the stable has sent out any runners since November but I'm siding with the selection for small stakes. 

1:05 Windsor - It seems like I did this race for nothing now, I don't always bother with apprentice races unless I come up with something a bit worthwhile ad I had one horse on my radar, you have to remember I do the analysis when the forty eight hour declarations come out, its now a non runner so I'm now obviously leaving the race alone. A very poor class six apprentice handicap and its not something I always bother too much with but after doing the work I thought I would show my thoughts, it really is so poor with fifteen runners there's only Foxtrot Jubilee and First Rebellion that have been known to lead before and there's only one of the whole field that has recorded a time fast enough to register in my graphs and that's the David Evans trained Haadeeth who usually tracks the pace setters and it ought to come home the strongest against these.

Links Drive Lady NR
Mia San Triple 3/1 Unp
Triple Dream 16/1 3rd
Kinglami 11/2 2nd

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