Friday, 8 May 2015

2:50 Haydock Winning Race Tips (9th May) PERTEMPS NETWORK CONDITIONS STAKES (CLASS 2) (3yo+)

Six runners in a class two conditions race but the main problem is working out what will lead as there's no known front runner in the field so it could become a tactical race. Invincible Ridge has only ran once in England and that was on good to soft ground and I do think its what it needs to show its best, both my second, Clear Spring and first top rated, LOUIS PIOUS 2/1 can either track the leaders or be held up, checking the statistics concerning the trainer and jockey it all looks positive and it should run a big race but it hasn't been on the course for nearly two hundred days but if fit it has every chance and has won once before when coming back from a break. 

3:00 Nottingham - From twelve runners there's only my fifth top rated Touch The Clouds who has been known to lead so could improve a bit if it gets an uncontested lead, Ambitious Icarus and Royal Bajan are fourth and third on my figures and both usually track the leaders, second top rated is Beau Mistral who also can track the leaders or be held up and its best time came at Haydock which I a similar type of course, my top spot is OSCARS JOURNEY 5/1 who usually sits just behind the leaders and has a few spots in hand on its best time from Windsor but it has also won on this course so it shouldn't cause it any problems. 

4:10 Nottingham - A listed class race with sixteen runners and only two known front runners although Perfect Blessing could try to lead its time doesn't put it in my top seven so doubt it can stay there if it does lead, I've got joint fourth top rated with Divine and Quenn Catrine who can both be held up or track the leaders, third top is Spinatrix who doesn't really want it too firm, second top is Holley Shiftwell who also can be held up or track the leaders but my top rated is the other possible front runner and if *DIAMOND LADY 40/1 does get to the front from stall nine it will be quite hard for these to pick it up, I think the price is so big because they are expecting the going to be on the soft side and if so there's no bet from me but an each way bet if the going is firm enough. 

4:55 Ascot - Where do you start with a twenty four runner race, well ant betting will be on the low scale because your going to need some degree of luck to find the winner. I can only find two horses that have led before and the best of those looks like Smidgen who is fifth on my figures, fourth top is Rasaman who is being ridden by a seven pound claimer which moves it into second spot, third spot goes to Mon Brav whilst second spot goes to Noble Deed but top on my list is WASEEM FARIS 20/1 who can either track the leaders or be held up and I'm hoping with a clear run it will be staying on strongly at the finish and it could be the first winner for a new trainer and another that's a real bit price because of the predicted softish going but an each way bet if the goings firm enough. 

6:40 Thirsk - Not much easier with twenty runners this time but at least this race has got seven runners that have been known to lead and Rodrigo De Torres is also second top on my list so it could be a fast run race, my top three are all from the bottom of the handicap which always makes me a bit wary of whether they are class enough to win the race but in this race I don't think it will apply as both my top two have been regularly running in class five and four races so this class five race is well within their compass, third spot goes to Another Royal but I have to go down to fourth top with Ace Master to include a horse from near the top of the handicap, but my top spot is *ENDERBY SPIRIT 14/1 but this one needs true good to firm or even firmer ground and is an each way bet if the going is suitable. 

SUMMARY: There's some big prices but maybe bigger than should have been expected but no matter what the price is, there's no bet if the going is any worse than good, so once again I'm asking you to keep an eye on the going before betting but it does look like it will be no bets tomorrow (Saturday) just the same as today.

Louis Pious 2/1 Unpl - No bet - Soft ground
Oscar's Journey 5/1 3rd - No bet - Soft ground
*Diamond Lady NR
Waseem Faris 20/1  Unp
*Enderby Spirit NR

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