Monday, 18 May 2015

2:50 Newcastle Winning Race Tips (19th May) NEWCASTLE FLOORING FILLIES´ HANDICAP

A class five race but a very poor quality race there's a few horses with not much form but mostly look as though they would prefer a longer trip but it wouldn't take much improvement from any of them to win this race, both Chances Are and Heroique have been known to lead if nothing else wants to but we do have a more natural front runner in the race and that's IRISH GIRLS SPIRIT 5/1 and is my top rated, the stable do quite well with today's jockey on board and the only downside I can find is its absence of two hundred and thirty two days and its usually needed a run to gain race fitness but its never run in such a poor race as this so I have to give it as a bet but stakes have to be kept low just in case it isn't fit enough to do itself justice but the betting says either someone fancies it to do well or the bookies are being a bit tight with the price just to make sure they dont get caught out. Just remember to check the going before having a bet but it is saying its good to firm at the moment but I'm not sure exactly where its been raining or going to rain but please check before betting. 

8:20 Chelmsford - Only seven runners in a class four race over the minimum trip of five furlongs with only Desert Strike having been known to lead before and it only usually leads if nothing else wants to go from the front it could improve if it gets an uncontested lead but its times only put it fifth top on my ratings, two of the runners Oh So Sassy and Cruise Tothelimit I have marked down as potential hidden dangers but the latter hasn't done very well on the all weather tracks but hasn't raced here but I doubt it will shock me here and the former has a time over six furlongs here which would make it fourth top so I'm going with neither of them coming to the fore in this race. Dynamo Walt is the third top rated and can be held up or track the leaders which also applies to the second top rated Arctic Lynx whilst the top rated SAVED MY BACON 2/1 is more of a hold up type and this horse has been in good form for quite a while now with three wins and a second place in its last four runs and with a clear run I think it could win its fourth recent race and in my opinion I wouldn't want to be taking a shorter price than the 2/1 as I always say they are not machines and anything less price-wise wouldn't be any value at all. I did have three more sprints at Chepstow and Nottingham but both courses are already saying the going there is on the soft side so no bets for me.

Irish Girl's Spirit 5/1 Unp - No bet -Soft ground
Saved My Bacon 2/1 5th 

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