Friday, 15 May 2015

4:15 Thirsk Winning Race Tips (16th May) ANDY DAVIS 50TH BIRTHDAY HANDICAP (CLASS 3) (4yo+ 0-90)

A sixteen runner race in class three Polski Max has been known to lead but usually under sufferance but there is two horses that are what I would call more natural front runners, Jacobs Pillow who's not in my top six the other possible leader is Whozthecat who is third on my list so it could stay up front long enough to get a place, second spot goes to My Name Is Rio who usually likes to track the leaders my top rated here is REX IMPERATOR 16/1 a hold up type who was a beaten favourite last time out when it tried to track the leaders early on and paid the price when it weakened quite quickly I'm hoping its held up here and is out to make amends for that defeat. 

4:50 Thirsk - Class two race with eleven runners, Free Zone's final times haven't been that good and isn't in my top six but Red Baron the only other front runner is third on my figures so could set the pace and be quite hard to catch so an each way bet ought to pay dividends and probably not many will get involved in the race, second top is Long Awaited who the last twice hasn't had the clearest of runs and finished well last time out when finishing a fast staying on second but this is very often the case time after time with hold up types but his day will come but I'm hoping its not here although with a clear run would be a danger and with one ought to make the frame, my top rating goes to CONFESSIONAL 8/1 who has had two comeback runs from a break and its second place last time out shows that its nearing full fitness and ready to show its true form and hopefully it will track the leaders and get the first run from a prominent position and come home the strongest. 

5:10 Newmarket - A class four race with eleven entrants and five of them have been known to lead before which include my third and top rated horses so it should be a fast run race and not many are likely to be involved in the race.Powerful Wind as I've already said could be one of the possible leaders as its my third best rating but the trainers statistics are not that good but could make the frame, second top is Taajub who has been ridden lately by Shane Kelly but this time by Adam Kirby but not sure if that's a big positive because he has ridden for the stable four times before without a winner and this horse needs real good to firm or even firmer going to show its best, my top rated is ANGEL WAY 16/1 who could be a leader and if it does get to the front it will be hard to pass and the jockey on board today is Shane Kelly who looks to have chosen this horse over Taajub. 

5:55 Thirsk - Fourteen runners with four horses that have been known to lead before and of this four Tyfos is the best being fourth on my figures, my third top rated is Imperial Legend who usually likes to track the leaders , I've got joint top rated with Singeur who really might prefer a longer trip and if they go fast enough up front they could cut each others throats and he would then have at least place claims, even though they are joint top I'm going in the favour of EMJAYEM 33/1 but the fact it hasn't run for two hundred and thirty five days tempers my enthusiasm but at the price I cant let it run without having an each way bet but stakes have to be kept on the low side of things. 

8:15 Doncaster - Twenty runners so its going to be quite hard to get a full picture of the race but there's only three that have been known to lead before but none of them are in my top six ratings, Gold Beau is my third top rated and usually tracks the leaders which is the same running style of my second top rated Secret Witness but the top spot goes to ENDERBY SPIRIT 20/1 who will need the going to be good to firm or firmer so it will be a case of checking the going before having a bet but if the grounds right for the horse it has a few spots in hand of the rest, its a big enough price to be an each way bet, it has an absence of over seven months to overcome so another low stakes race.

Rex Imperator 16/1 Unp
Confessional 8/1 Unp
Angel Way 12/1 2nd
Emjayem 33/1 Unp
Enderby Spirit 22/1 Unp

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