Monday, 4 May 2015

4:50 Brighton Winning Race Tips (5th May) BRIGHTONBIGBALLS.COM BEACH RUN MAY 10TH HANDICAP

Only seven runners on a class four handicap over five furlongs, Iseemist and Pandar may prefer a further trip so could get out paced in this race, Royal Warrior is my fifth top rated and could lead but so could Dreams Of Glory who is fourth top so they shouldn't be able to hold on for the win, I've got joint ratings with my second top spot with Flying bear who usually tracks the leaders and Ginzan who also can track the leaders but it can also be held up depending how the race pans out, the top honour goes to the top weighted *EXTRASOLAR 11/2 who reared when the stalls opened on Saturday and then couldn't get involved in the race and that was a class three race and its dropped one level here and out again quickly because it didn't have a hard race and coming out this quickly I think the stable must have fancied its chances last time out and they are running him again to gain compensation. 

8:30 Catterick - Only six runners but a very strange race in the fact that being a class five race I've only got one that's ran a fast enough time to even register on my graphs, Threes Grand may need further to show its best, there's two possible leaders firstly Eland Ally who's times have been quite slow and Rusty Rocket who prefers a softer surface to show its best, which leaves me with just the top rated ORIENT CLASS who is my top and only rated horse, it usually tracks the leaders and should come home the strongest in this race if the surface is on the firm side of things, if it turned soft the top weighted Rusty Rocket may be able to lead all the way but I did say “maybe” but if the going is on the soft side I wont be putting anything up as a selection. 

SUMMARY: Only two sprint races today and I'm quietly confident with my selection in both races if the ground is on the firm side of things, I really do think the connections of EXTRASOLAR 11/2 are bringing it out again quickly because it didn't really have a race last time out and if they had it fit for that race surely it makes sense to come out again whilst they think they have their horse fit and ready plus its dropped a grade here and a top jockey, Adam Kirby replaces the apprentice who was on the horse on Saturday. In the 8.30 the selection ORIENT CLASS 100/30 looks a cut above these on firmer going and it ought to be able to sit just behind the front runners and come home the stronger, it hasnt run since September last year but it did win first time out last season so can run to form coming back from a break.

*Extrasolar (NR)
Orinet Class - No Bet - Soft Ground

No comments: