Thursday, 21 May 2015

5:10 Goodwood Winning Race Tips (22nd May) IBA STAKES (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-105)

Looks a quite nice class two handicap but only two runners that have been known to lead before and as they are third and second top on my figures it may be that not many horses get into the race, Deeds Not Words is my third to and drawn in stall one, ASHPAN SAM 10/1 is my second top [top rated with Slip Sliding Away NR] and drawn in stall three but the history of the horse says it might need the run after being off for just over two hundred days. Worth a small each-way bet at the odds.

7:40 - Musselburgh - This race looks quite strange for a class four event as there's ten runners with three having been known to lead before, everything seems fine so far, but none of them are in the top four ratings but I would be wary if the three year old Alaskan Wing got an uncontested lead as it is probably open to some improvement and the same but a slightly lesser amount could apply to Bowsen Fred, the other front runner Rusty Rocket prefers some cut in the ground. Fredricka is my fourth top rated but moves up to third if you take off the apprentices claim, Rothesay Chancer is my original third top rated but this one would maybe prefer another furlong, second top is Bunce who also may prefer further and I expect they will both be staying on at the finish, the top spot goes to ECONOMIC CRISIS 16/1 who can either track the leaders or be held up depending how the race pans out from its stall one draw another plus to the horses chances is the fact that the stable has come into form this month with two winners from seven runners with their older horses. 

8:00 Pontefract - Another class four race and a very competitive nature but a big downside is the fact there's not any known front runners so it could become tactical if nothing sets a decent early pace. I've got joint third top rated with Mississippi and Vallarta who can both be held up or track the leaders, Dark Castle is second top and this one prefers to track the leaders, its back to being able to be held up or follow the pace-setters with the top rated SALVATORE FURY 25/1 and this statistics from the trainer side of things looks very good and which I'm hoping is pointing to it running a big race, the trainer has had three winners from six runners with his older horses at this course, the jockey has got a sixteen percent win ratio when riding for the stable which has been in fairly good form lately and at this price has to be given as an each way bet. P.S. Please remember to check the going before betting, I expect some of you are bored with me keeping on about it but I only usually bet when there's no soft in the going, I will let you know if and when I think something could still win despite the going.

Ashpan Sam 11/1 Unp
Economic Crisis 16/1 4th
Salvatore Fury 25/1 Unp

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