Sunday, 14 June 2015

2:45 Carlisle (15th June) MOLSON COORS HANDICAP (CLASS 5) (3yo+ 0-70)

Fourteen runners with four horses that have led before in a class five race over six furlongs, of the possible front runners, Majestic Manannan, Chookies Lass, Goninodaethat all haven't recorded a time fast enough to appear in my top four ratings, I've got Consistant and Another Royal down as joint third top on my figures, second top is Malaysian Boleh who has never won on turf but I've got it marked down as a possible danger and it could or even should make the frame here but top spot goes to CENTRE HAAFHD 40/1 who is also the fourth possible front runner, it recorded its best time at this course and distance on good to firm ground and hasn't raced on the same surface since so I'm hoping if its genuine good to firm going this one could spring back to form and hopefully lead all the way, the official going tonight is given as good and good to firm in places, so I'm hoping it dries out to be good to firm all over, if the going dries out I think this horse is over priced because you can ignore all its form on good or worse going or over a longer trip and at the price it might be worth a small each way bet. 

7:10  Nottingham - Only six runners so I doubt the price will be very good but the top rated SYRIAN PEARL 8/1 is the only known front runner but half the field are three year olds that could have any amount of improvement still to come so any stakes have to be kept low and these small fields very often become tactical but maybe not in this race but stakes still have to stay low. 

7:20 Windsor - Six furlong class four race with nine runners but only one known front runner in Diamond lady who is my sixth top rated so maybe not good enough to hold them all at bay but with an uncontested lead it could improve a few pounds, Tamayuz Star and Noverre To Go are my joint third top rated but I've got joint top spots in CHILWORTH ICON 4/1 and Secret Witness but the latter has been out of form for quite a while now and I doubt its going to leap back into form here which leaves me with the top weight against the field and this one usually tracks the leaders.

Centre Haafhd 40/1 Unp
Syrian Pearl NR
Chilworth Icon 4/1 4th

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