Friday, 19 June 2015

4:10 Ayr Winning Race Tips (20th June) SCOTTISH SUN/BRITISH STALLION STUDS EBF LAND O´BURNS FILLIES´ STAKES (Listed Race)

Twelve runners over five furlongs at Listed class with three known front runners, Spinatrix may find this distance too short or it could be a hidden danger I'm going with it being too short, Dika Del Mar is a three year old possible front runner and could be a hidden danger but does need to improve a lot to win this, Goldcrest another three year old is also my second top rated but its form this season hasn't been anywhere near as good as last seasons so I'm going to omit this one till it shows a return to form and hope its not here, Online Alexander is my second top rated while HOLLEY SHIFTWELL 25/1 is top rated and this one usually tracks the early pace and then stays on strongly at the finish and at the price has to be given as an each way bet. 

4:50 Ayr - Down to class three and down to eight runners with only two horses having been known to lead before but one of them Even Stevens hasn't been in very good form on turf which takes it out of my equation, the veteran Borderlescott is third top on my figures and the bottom weight Economic Crisis comes out second top but top spot goes to LEXINGTON PLACE 9/2 from the Ruth Carr stable and if this one can reproduce its best time recorded at Haydock it could lead all the way here. 

5:25 Ayr - Down to class four now but still eight runners, only JINKY has been known to lead before and it could get an uncontested lead here and although its time only makes it second best I'm fairly sure its capable of repeating it, top spot goes to BARNEY McGREW 10/1 who did its best time at Newcastle but I'm not completely sure if it can reproduce that time but I'm going to say back both of them, as I cant see outside these two, to make a profit whichever one wins. 

5:20 Newmarket - Sixteen runners with four known possible leaders so hopefully it will be a true run race as three of those four are in my top nine but none in the top four, Slip Sliding Away 10/1 is rated co second top of three but with its seven pound claimer moves to joint top rated but I'm not sure if its able to repeat that time again, Cincuenta Pasos 10/1 is rated exactly the same and I'm fairly sure this one can do it all again, the third co second top is Light From Mars 25/1 but this one has only got a five pound claimer riding, my original top spot was Extrasolar 8/1 who being ridden by a five pound claimer then moves back into third top spot, its a bit complicated but I do think the winner will come from these four. 

6:45 Haydock - An eight runner race with only Showstoppa having been known to lead before and could be a bit of a hidden danger but needs to improve a fair amount to win this class four race, Busy Bimbo has had one good time which would make it at the weights the top rated but I'm not sure it will reproduce its best time here and it needs good going and not good to firm, whilst the top weight LADY GIBRALTAR 5/2 is second top and I'm sure will be able to repeat its best time again, so I'm going to give both as selections so whichever wins shows a profit. 

P.S. There's three other sprints two at Ascot and one at Lingfield, there's a group class sprint where nearly half the field are not frequent runners here so very hard to analyse so a race best to watch and savour, the other sprint has got twenty eight runners and is virtually impossible to solve so I'm leaving that alone as well, the sprint at Lingfield has Whitecrest as my top rated but its only a 13/8 shot which just isn't any value, it would maybe okay in a multi bet but I'm not putting it up as a selection.

Holley Shiftwell 25/1 2nd 
Lexingtom Place 9/2 1st 
Barney McGrew 10/1 3rd
Jinky 10/1 5th
Lady Gibraltar  5/2 1st

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