Thursday, 25 June 2015

7:45 Newcastle Winning Race Tips (26th June) BETFRED GOSFORTH PARK CUP (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-105)

A move up to ten runners in a class two race with only two having been known to lead before, the three year old Northgate Lad might prefer a softer surface so may not be able to lead on fast ground, Mishaal would only probably lead if nothing else wanted to and may prefer further so if it does get an uncontested lead it could be a danger, my second top rated is Confessional who can be held up or track the leaders but top spot goes to PEARL ACCLAIM 6/1 who won last time out at Musselburgh where it sat just behind the leaders and stayed on strongly and a repeat of that form could be good enough here despite the rise in class . 

7:55 Newmarket - Only seven runners in a class three conditions race but only Childesplay ever been known to lead and although this ones winning time at Ascot wasn't that good if allowed to dictate again from the front and then kick on and try and pinch the race, I'm not convinced it will be able to do it here racing off level weights with five horses that are rated better than it, Serenity Spa is my third top speed figure but I think this one despite the good time will be outclassed here, second top figure goes to Ishiamber who is joint top rated on official handicap ratings, my top rated LOVE ISLAND 2/1 is also one of the three official top rated and its a hold up type so could finish fast here hopefully for the win but the odds are a bit short but will be ok in a multi bet. 

8:45 Newcastle -  Sixteen runners in a very poor class five race, there are five horses that have been known to lead but the three that are more confirmed front runners are Roy's Legacy and L'ami Louis but these two's recent times have been poor so I'm hoping that MEANDMYSHADOW 20/1 can either lead or be very prominent right from the off and could prove the stronger close home but it isn't a race to be getting too heavily involved in and as I write this,Wednesday, I'm hoping its a big enough price to bet each way as a bit of insurance, and 20/1 is plenty big enough to go each way. 

9:00 Newmarket - Eight runners with three possible front runners, Free Zone has been well below form lately and its not done a time to make my top three, Honcho a three year old would be a danger if it got a race where its the only front runner so maybe its not going to be good enough here, Come On Dave is the best of the front runners and ought to be able to make the frame if it does get to the front, Indian Tinker did a time at Ripon which would put it in top place by quite a few spots but its not guaranteed to repeat that time but it just might, Imperial Legend is second top and has shown its more than capable of repeating its good times, so I'm suggesting backing IMPERIAL LEGEND 10/1 and having just a saving bet on INDIAN TINKER 8/1 just in case it does run to its best time.

Pearl Acclaim 8/1 5th
Love Island 2/1 Unp
Meandmyshadow 20/1 2nd 
Imperial Legend 10/1 3rd
Indian Tinker 8/1 4th 

No comments: