Sunday, 12 July 2015

3:30 Ayr - Racing Tips (13th July) RACING UK´S PROFITS RETURNED TO RACING HANDICAP (CLASS 5) (3yo+ 0-75)

A stinker of a race where there are four horses, Rock Canyon, Doc Charm, Goninodaethat and COSMIC CHATTER 8/1 and the latter is also the top rated only because its the only horse with a recorded fast enough time but that was last year 2014 and it hasn't done it since and also this distance might be stretching its stamina so any bet has to be a small one. 

4:05 Ayr - A seven runner poor class six race with Clever Love who could lead if nothing else wants to and also Chookies Lass could lead and this one will either be outpaced or could lead all the way but BUSY BIMBO 14/1 is the only one in the field that's recorded a time good enough for my charts and that was at Hamilton in 2014 but I'm not sure if its capable of repeating that time so stakes have to be kept very low. 

6:00 Windsor - A poor class six apprentice race with fourteen runners and only the three year old Named Asset who has been known to lead and so it could be a hidden danger but it does need to improve to win here but never say never if it gets an uncontested lead, Euroquip Boy did a reasonably fast back in 2013 but hasn't shown anything like that since but in this race it cant be dismissed light INDUS VALLEY 15/2 is my top rated but this one might prefer further so should be staying on at the finish but it is the only horse in the race to have recorded a time good enough to register on my graphs but consistency isn't guaranteed so stakes should be kept low. 

7:10 Wolverhampton - A class four race but with only the three year old Absolute Champion ever been known to lead before so if it gets an uncontested lead it could improve a few pounds and will need to if it wants to win here, I've got SIR BILLY WRIGHT 7/1 quite a few spots ahead of the rest here and the booking of John Egan looks significant hes got a 16% win rate and a level stakes profit with the stables older horses. 

SUMMARY A poor day's racing and my first three races are very patchy in terms of form and consistency so as I've stated all stakes should be kept low and the race at Wolverhampton is a bit of a risk because of the new Tapeta surface and there are still a few horses that haven't raced on it and also the times have not settled down yet so all stakes today should be kept low in fact very low.

Cosmic Chatter - No bet - soft ground
Busy Bimbo - No bet - soft ground 
Indus Valley - No bet - soft ground
Sir Billy Wright 7/1 3rd

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