Just the one race to analyse today a decent looking class four race over six furlongs
1—Steelriver recorded its best time at Thirsk but may really need a longer trip and will need to be fairly close to the early pace but is my second top rated “if” it can repeat that time.
2—Vallarta can be held up or track the leaders and is my fourth top rated from its best run at Windsor and I think this one is capable of repeating its best time so could have place claims.
3—Grissom may prefer a softer surface and a longer trip so maybe this isn't its day.
4—Native Falls ran well when second last time out and is my top rated from its best time at Ayr which is a very similar course to this one and is usually very close to the front early on and could even lead and uf does so will be hard to catch, the bias here is for those drawn low and its housed in stall two, so ideal if it does decide to lead.
5—Speedy Move is a three year old that has also been known to front run or be up with the pace and its best time from Leicester puts it into fifth top spot.
6—Half A Billion is another possible front runner but I don't think it will be fast enough to lead against these and its final times have been quite slow.
7—Money Team can be held up or track the leaders but its times haven't been fast enough to feature in this race and is poorly drawn in stall nine.
8—Kenny The Captain may prefer some cut in the going but it still comes out third top from a time recorded at Thirsk and usually likes to track the leaders.
9—Eastern Racer is the fourth possible front runner but its times are relatively slow and maybe outclassed here.
SUMMARY: I gave NATIVE FALLS 6/1 as my selection last time out as a 12/1 shot when it finished second and this time it is quite a few spots ahead of the others if it runs to its best I can see it leading all the way from its stall two draw and today its being ridden by Shane Grey a three pound claiming apprentice who has had eight rides for this stable and won twice so everything points to the stable expecting it to go very well here today.
Native Falls 6/1 Unp