Monday, 10 August 2015

2:45 Carlisle Winning Race Tips (11th Aug) APOLLOBET BEST ODDS GUARANTEED HANDICAP (CLASS 5) (3yo+ 0-70)

Quite a strange race in the way it might pan out, I've got MEANDMYSHADOW 14/1 as the only known natural front runner and is capable of repeating its best time from the front, SALVATORE FURY 6/1 is my second top rated and like my top rated GOLD BEAU 25/1 im not sure if its capable of repeating its best which is my strange dilemma and all I can do is suggest going with all three to make a profit but stakes should be minimal. 

7:15 Nottingham - A nice class three race just a shame there's not a few more than the six entries and its close near the top and second top rated is Barracuda Boy from a time at Haydock so this course should suit but the top rated plus the only known front runner in this field is MEADWAY 10/1 and if this one I allowed its own way in front it could be a value bet at the price and im hoping its capable of leading all the way. 

7:30 Ffos Las - Six runners and four of them have been known to lead so it could be a fast early pace and both my second top SIR BILLY WRIGHT 11/2 and my top rated SWENDAB 9/2 are both capable of going from the front and with only one spot between them im going with both to show a profit whichever does the business. [No bet - Soft ground]

7:45 Nottingham - This looks a good race for a class five affair,Loumarin is one of three known possible leaders and it could be a danger if its allowed to dictate a slower pace from the front as it looks like it might need further so would have plenty of stamina for the finish but im doubting whether it will be able to get to the front, Touch The Clouds is another possible front runner and this one is my third top rated, I've got joint top rated with SLEEPY BLUE OCEAN 7/2 who finished third on Saturday and if out again this quickly may mean the stable fancy its chances but the other top rated TYFOS 10/1 is the third possible leader and if this one can get the fractions right from the front ought to be hard to catch but neither stable is in flying form so stakes are to be kept low. 

8:15 Nottingham - What a poor class six race! Of the twelve runners there's four that have been known to lead but only the top weight GOADBY 11/1 has done a time good enough to register on my graphs from a result at Salisbury when second four runs ago but its three runs since haven't been anywhere near that but it must have some degree of chance against horses rated inferior but any stakes would be kept on the low side and at the price it has to be an each way bet.

Meandmyshadow 14/1 3rd
Salvatore Fury 6/1 2nd 
Golden Beau 25/1 Unp 
Meadway 10/1 Unp
Sleepy Blue Ocean 7/2 1st
Tyfos 2nd 10/1 2nd  (SF: 23.17)
Goadby 16/1 3rd 

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