Thursday, 6 August 2015

3:50 Brighton Winning Race Tips (7th Aug) HARRY BLOOM MEMORIAL "BRIGHTON BULLET" HANDICAP (CLASS 4) (3yo+ 0-80)

Nine runners in a class four race but there's no known front runners in the race which puts me on the back foot as it makes it very hard to get a picture of how the race might pan out, Storm Lightning is my fourth top rated but is maybe better over a shorter trip but if the race isn't run at a fast pace it could still be here at the finish in this race, third top is Heartsong who may be a bit better on a soft-ish surface but genuinely good ground also suits this horse but I've got joint top rated with WEALEASE BWIAN 10/1 who is being ridden by a five pound claimer but drops to second top as BIRDIE QUEEN 5/2 is ridden by a decent seven pound claimer so this one is my top spot but maybe doing both to show a profit is the way to go. 

4:40 Lingfield - (AW) A quite poor class six race on the artificial surface here with several potential hidden dangers so stakes have to kept to a minimum, I've only got Risky Razlova marked down as a front runner so this one could be dangerous with an easy uncontested lead, Little the only three year old in the race is my fourth top rated and can either track the leaders or be held up which is the running style of all of my top four, third is Encapsulated but the top two are quite a few spots ahead but very close between them so im suggesting backing both COMPTON PRINCE 10/1 my top rated and SASKIAS DREAM 11/2 my second top so whichever one does the business shows a profit. 

4:50 Brighton - This is a strange race and really I don't know why im bothering with it but there's something in the race that is way ahead of the rest but the trainers data put a big dampener on things, Peter Islan is a possible front runner and maybe a bit of a hidden danger but its not in my top three, Trending is third top and Excellent Aim is second top and did its best time over this course and distance but if KUANYAO 11/1 can reproduce its best time which it did at Windsor last year it would win this quite easily but in class six races consistency just doesn't happen very often so any stakes have to be minimal. 

7:30 Haydock -  Nine runners with five of them being three year olds but three of the three year olds I've dismissed quite easily, there's also three known front runners and two of them are the other two three year olds, Jebediah Shine my fifth top rated but is ridden by a seven pound claimer which would move it into third position, and Horsforth my third top rated so it could be a fast run race, TWO TURTLE DOVES 5/1 is well weighted and becomes the joint top rated and this old one can spring back to form without warning so has to be considered the other joint top rated is the top weight IRISH GIRLS SPIRIT 5/1 who has been running fairly consistently lately but without winning so once again any stakes have to be minimal. 

8:25 Newmarket - What looks like a good class three race with eleven runners and two known front runners in Magnus Maximus and Munfallet who is my sixth top rated, Secretinthepark is fourth top rated and the top three all come from the bottom of the handicap, Sunraider third top and Extrasolar second top both either track the leaders or be held up, my top rated is STEVE PRESCOTT 6/1 the only three year old in the race, it hasn't repeated its best time which was recorded at Newmarket yet but has been running in class two races so has stepped down a grade here and if it comes back to its best will have a decent chance here but because its not done as well lately stakes are again down to a minimum.

Birdie Queen 7/2 5th
Welease Bwian 10/1 8th
Compton Prince 14/1 9th
Saskia's Dream 11/2 4th
Kuanyao 20/1 6th
Two Turtle Doves 5/1 2nd 
Irish Girls Spirit 5/1 4th
Steve Prescott 6/1 1st


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