Friday, 25 September 2015

2:30 Chester Winning Race Tips (26th Sept) ADVANCED INSULATION HANDICAP (CLASS 4) (3yo+ 0-80)

We all know a low draw is usually needed here where you on the turn nearly the whole race but im never very confident with any bets so my stake will be a low one. I've got six horses marked down that have been known to lead and Whozthecat is my fourth top rated and drawn in stall two and Mutafaakir my third top rated is drawn in stall nine so it should be a decent early paced race, I've actually got joint top rated horses in Ralphy Boy another possible front runner but drawn in stall fifteen of the sixteen runners also it hasn't shown anything like that time since and may really be better over a longer distance and I doubt its chances of leading, the other top rated is CLUBLAND 25/1 and this one has got stall one so hopefully it can get a good position from the draw and stay on strongly at the finish. 

No bet - Soft ground

2:40 Ripon - Not a great apprentices race and of the sixteen runners only three of them have recorded a fast enough time to register on my figures, then there's the fact there's only one known front runner in Berti Blu Boy who has never won on grass, so im going to put all three forward as selections, third top is PENSAX LAD 12/1, second top YPRES 14/1 but hes got a five pound claiming apprentice on board which would move it to top spot as it was originally only one pound behind TANGO SKY 7/1 they all can either track the leader or be held up plus all three are not very consistent and cannot be relied upon but im hoping one of them has a good day but my stakes will be very low. 

3:20 Haydock - Seventeen runners with just two known front runners drawn in stalls seven and seventeen but neither are in my top six, I've got three co-second top rated horses, Fast Shot a hold up sort, Mehdi who likes to track the leaders and Guishan who can be held up or track the leaders but my top spot goes to HARWOOD'S VOLANTE 8/1 who from stall fifteen could follow the leader on that side of the course and stay on strongest at the finish. 

No bet - Soft ground

3:45 Ripon - A very tricky looking class two race with fifteen entrants and only two known front runners but neither are in my top six, Love Island is my third top rated from a time recorded in 2014 so im not sure if it can repeat its best time which also applies to one of my joint top rated BARNET FAIR 17/2 and this being a hold up type would still need some luck in running if they all go to one side of the course, my other top rated is REGAL DAN 14/1 who usually tracks the leaders and being drawn in stall eight it can go whichever way to cover all eventualities and i'll look to back both to show a profit if either horse wins. 

3:55 Haydock - There's six known front runners in this field of fifteen and as my second top rated CAPTAIN DUNNE 16/1 is one of the possible leaders and drawn on the high numbered side which is the favoured side, my top rated is CONFESSIONAL 8/1 who is two pounds ahead so its fairly close and I will be don't them both to show a profit whichever one does the business. 

No bet - Soft ground

5:30 Ripon - Class four race with fourteen runners and four known pace setters three of them are not in my top six, Avon Breeze is my third top rated and be held up or track the leaders, ive actually got joint top rated horses in Rubys Day who may need good to firm to show its best which I doubt will be the going and also its got to run to its absolute best to catch the other joint top rated INNOCENTLY 10/1 who is the fourth possible leader and in a big field its got the plum draw from stall one so hopefully will be able to lead and then be very hard to catch. 

6:45 Chelmsford - Six of the twelve runners haven't got form over this course and distance but they will need to be something special in this race as there's some speedy runners, four of them have led before and Come On Dave is my third top rated, second spot goes to Normal Equilibrium who usually prefers to track the leaders but top spot goes to DYNAMO WALT 6/1 who is looking to complete a hat trick of course and distance wins and looks quite capable of doing it but stakes will be kept low because of all the potentially unexposed sorts in the race.

Tango Sky 7/1 2nd
Ypres 14/1 Unp
Pensax Lad 12/1 Unp
Barnet Fair 9/1 6th
Regal Dan 14/1 Unp
Innocently 10/1 Unp
Dynamo Walt 8/1 6th

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