Thursday, 3 September 2015

2:40 Ascot Winning Race Tips (4th Sept) DARE TO BE ORIGINAL HARROGATE SPRING WATER HANDICAP (CLASS 4) (3yo+ 0-80)

Eighteen runners with seven that have led before so it could be a fast run race for the class and im going to go with two horses to try to find the winner, SMIDGEN 20/1 is my second top rated but is one of the possible front runners from its stall two draw but my top rated is GLASTONBERRY 16/1 who is usually held up so will need a bit of luck in such a big field and the stiff finish at this course might suit it. [No bet - Soft ground]

3:00 Haydock - Seventeen runners with two horses that can lead if needs be, Mutafaakir and Kommander Kirkup who is drawn well in stall seventeen, Barkston Ash, not in my top six, and Strategic Force, my fifth joint top rated, are more natural front runners and the latter has got stall fourteen so the early pace could be on the high side which is where the bias favours, third top rated is Flexible Flyer drawn in stall six and second top rated GRAMERCY 12/1 is drawn in stall ten and is only one pound of my top rated HARWOOD'S VOLANTE 12/1 and this ones got stall seven, im hoping my top two can get good early positions and then stay on strongly at the finish. [No bet - Soft ground]

3:35 Haydock - Probably the best but hardest sprint of the day, there are fifteen runners and three possible leaders and Judge N Jury is perhaps the best of those front runners but isn't in my top four, FLASH CITY 8/1 is third top but only one pound behind SECRET ASSET 20/1 and I think both of these are more than capable of repeating their best times, my top rated is STRAITS OF MALACCA 20/1 from a time it recorded at Hamilton in 2014 but hasn't quite hit the same heights this year but could win if springing back into form but I will be doing all three to show a profit whichever one wins. [No bet - Soft ground]

4:30 Newcastle - Quite a poor class six race with sixteen runners and there's only Gaelic Wizard that has been known to lead before and an uncontested lead can improve a horse but at this ones age I doubt its going to improve much so im going to weigh in with JEBEL TARA 5/1 who likes to track the leaders and may even prefer a bit further so should be staying on at the end and I will be going with a small bet. [No bet - Soft ground]

5:15 Musselburgh - Only seven runners and only the one known front runner, I've got joint third top rated horses in Go Go Green and I'll Be Good, second top is Imperial Legend but the top rated IRISH GIRL'S SPIRIT 6/1 is the aforementioned only known front runner so if this one gets to the front it ought to be hard to catch. 

7:45 Musselburgh - Class six and a poor race of twelve entrants and three of them have been known to lead, Fine N Dandy, Diatomic and Go Charlie but none are in my top two but if one of them got to the front on their own they could be a bit of a danger, ive got joint top rated with BUSY BIMBO 6/1 who is being ridden bye a three pound claiming apprentice so would go first on its own and I cant work out whether the booking is a positive or not so im going to do SPEND A PENNY 9/1 as well to show a profit whichever one wins.

Irish Girl's Spirit 15/2 5th
Busy Bimbo 8/1 4th
Spend A Penny NR

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