A class three race with fourteen runners but eight of them haven't raced at this course and distance and only five have got a recorded time, I've got joint third top in Varsovian and ELIS ELIZ 10/1 who looks the most likely leader as it's led before and its drawn in stall one this time, SPRING LOADED 6/1 is my second top and I'm quite sure this horse is capable of doing its best time again so on a consistency view could be the safest call, UPAVON 14/1 is top rated but I'm not completely sure whether it can repeat its best time, I think the three-year-old Elis Eliz could get an uncontested lead and be very hard to catch, so a few points of contention but hopefully I've found the winner in these three and I'll back all of them to show a profit whichever one wins.
3:20 Nottingham - Three possible front runners in this field of twelve and any bias is in favour of the high drawn horses but none of the front runners are in my top four so it looks like they will be setting the race up for the finishing types, Ruby's Day is fourth top rated and well drawn in stall twelve but may need good to firm ground to show its best times, Pabusar is third top but has only done that level of speed the once so I'm not sure if it can repeat that rating but is drawn in stall eleven, second top is Indian Tinker drawn in stall ten whilst my top rated is Cruise Tothelimit who has got stall one so maybe at a disadvantage and at this distance it probably needs good to firm ground to show its best, which leaves me in a quandary of what to do and I think the sensible thing to do is leave the race alone and with rain forecast I doubt the going will be anything other than soft.
4:30 Chelmsford - Class six race and in some cases, not much data to work with so any bet will be small, I've got some marked down as possible hidden dangers and one of them is Spowarticus who is the only known front runner so could be a danger with an uncontested lead also four horses that come out co-second top rated, Encapsulated, Ben Hall, Fossa and Ghost Train but I've got FREEZE THE SECRET 20/1 as my top-rated an also being a three-year-old could still improve but the trainers recent form doesn't inspire any confidence but at the price I have to have a small each-way wager.
Elis Eliz 10/1 2nd
Upavon 14/1 6th
Spring Loaded 6/1 Unp
Freeze The Secret 33/1 7th