A hard race to get a good picture of with three possible hidden dangers and six of the nine runners have led before, so it could be a race that is run very fast for the class. My top rated is BROTHER TIGER 8/1 who is one of the possible front runners but has got the worst of the draw in stall nine while the other possible leaders are in stalls four to seven which might not help my second top rated Varsovian who is in stall two so could find a wall of horses in front of it. In summary I might have to have a small each-way bet on my top rated as long as there isn't nay non-runners and there's three places up for grabs but any stake would have to be kept on the low side.
5:30 Chelmsford - A class six claimer doesn't set my heart aflutter in anticipation and to be honest its not as bad as it first looks,
1—Yeeoow official rating(OF)85 weight(W) 9.12 so not weighted to win this.
2—Evanscent OF 80 - W 9.8 maybe too short and not well in here.
3—Laylas Hero OF 78 – W 9.2 fairly well weighted officially but debut on this course
4—Father Fred OF 65 – W 9.0 my third top rated but not weighted officially to win this
5—For Ayman OF 70 – W 9.0 my fastest rating but poorly weighted classwise
6—Spitfire OF 64 – W 8.12 leaves it a few pounds out of favour but my second fastest
7—Dissent OF 77 – W – 8.10 puts this as the best one in at the weights but it hasn't got a recorded time for this course but I did have it marked down as the most likely hidden danger even before I looked at the official figures.
8—Wild Tobacco OF 63 – W – 8.6 is a three-year-old from the all-powerful Richard Hannon stable so it could be capable of improving.
SUMMARY: I've got conflictions in the race, on my speed figures FOR AYMAN 8/1 is top rated, on official figures DISSENT 4/1 comes out top and then there's the unexposed Hannon three-year-old and I do think the winner should come from these three, the Hannon horse is the outsider of the field so obviously they dont expect it to be good enough to win here so I will be backing the two that come out top on the two different methods to show a profit whichever one wins but my stake will be once again on the low side.
2:50 Lingfield NR
For Ayam 8/1 3rd
Dissent 4/1 7th