1—Charlie Lad may find things happening a bit too quickly here but should be staying on and is my fourth top rated.
2—Rat Catcher is my third top rated and can be held up or track the leaders and if reproducing its best time could be a bit of a hidden danger so could make the frame.
3—Pancake Day has got a slow time round here and I think its either because its the wrong surface or the trip is too short so not for me.
4—Time Medicean hasn't any form over course and distance on this surface and looks as though its better over further.
5—Lizzys Dream isn't in my top four on times for this course but has won its last two races at Kempton but i'll leave it alone here.
6—Camanche Grey can be held up or track the leaders but time wise isn't in my top four so I doubt this will be its day.
7—Bilash is a hold up type and on my speed figures comes out second best but the form of this nine year old hasn't been very inspiring lately and may be getting too old to win.
8—Novabridge is a hold up or chase the leaders type of horse but times have been poor lately and not in my top four.
9—Warm Order is the only known front runner in the race but stall eleven isn't ideal but its also my top rated so if it does get across into the lead would be hard to catch.
10—Cockle Town Boy is still a maiden after fourteen races and nothing points to it breaking its duck in this race.
11—Seraphima is fifth on my figures but is even better over a longer trip so should be staying on at the finish but would need others to falter to make the frame.
SUMMARY: The selection WARM ORDER 28/1 is the only known front runner in the race and I'm hoping it can get across from stall eleven to lead here and I do think this is the trainers intention because hes given the ride to William Carson who deployed similar front running tactics at Brighton when finishing second and if it does get to the front could be hard to catch but at the odds I will be doing it as an each way bet.
Warm Order 28/1 7th