1—Bahamian Sunrise is usually either held up or tracks the leaders it may need this run for fitness as it hasn't won first time out before but from a limited amount of data and is only my fourth top rated.
2—Flickas Boy hasn't run on any all weather track before so hard to analyse but it did record a fast-ish time on the turf at Musselburgh on good to firm going so could like this surface and as its one of the two possible leaders it could be a danger.
3—Point North has improved greatly this year winning its last two races over this course and distance and a repeat of its time from its last race is enough to beat the other three with recorded times from this course and it looks like it does like a fast early pace to aim at so this could suit.
4—Jaarith is my third top rated and is usually just behind the leaders from the start and has been fairly consistent but it always seems to find one or two too good every race and I couldn't back it here with only two places being paid.
5—Perardua is the other I've got marked down as the most likely leader but it may need this run for fitness and I hope its ridden hard from the start to gain race fitness and I also think this surface may not suit it so it just may not be able to keep tabs with the other front runner but could still push and make it a true run race.
6—Orien Class looks to me as though this surface isn't its favourite and was well beaten by the selection last time out and isn't weighted to reverse the form but that run still makes it my second top rated which doesn't bode well for the other two with course form.
7—Our Lord has only had four runs and despite its form figures looking quite good with being in the top four three times the actual form of those races is quite poor, this is its first run of the year so I'm not sure of its fitness but the trainer is capable of getting them fit first time out but I'm going to leave it alone in this race.
SUMMARY: Not a great race and I have narrowed the race down to two runners, the selection is POINT NORTH 7/4 who has by far the best time of those that have run here, I can find negatives about two of the remaining three with no form here so that leaves the front running, from stall one, FlLICKA'S BOY 7/1 as the only alternative if it takes to the surface and I will have a smaller bet on it as cover in case it does lead all the way to the line.
Point North 85/40 1st
Flicks'a Boy 7/1 Unp