Wednesday, 16 March 2016

6:50 Chelmsford Winning Race Tips (17th March) TOTETRIFECTA PICK THE WORLD HURDLE 1,2,3 HANDICAP (CLASS 3) (4yo+ 0-95)

A nice looking class three race with eleven entrants and seven of them have been known to lead before but I'm going to concentrate on my top three as I think the winner should be among them, Pensax Lad is my third top rated and a front running type and has got the prime draw in stall one and will I expect be looking to get to the front with control of the rails, my second top rated is Brother Tiger a possible front runner but stall seven, the way this race is made-up might be a bit hard to get a clear run as the other front runners are in stalls four, five, eight and nine, so will definitely have to be at the top of its game to manipulate a clear early passage but must have a chance if it does get a good run but my top spot is DYNAMO WALT 16/1 who finished behind Brother Tiger last time it ran at this course and distance but is weighted to reverse the form and I think the jockey held it up a bit too long before running on strongly and I'm hoping it can get a good position on the rails from stall three and then run on strongly at the finish and at this price I will be having a smallish each way bet. 

8:20 Chelmsford - A poor turnout of just seven runners but there is three known front runners but both Alhella and Heartsong may prefer slower surfaces so may not be able to lead here which could leave Penny Dreadful with a uncontested lead and therefore capable of improving a few pounds or using tactics so the others find it harder to pass it nearing the finish, my second top rated is the bottom weight Camdora who has been in good form lately but may now be just in the grasp of the handicapper but should run another big race and will be capable of winning if others don't run to their best but I've got INVADE 5/1 marked down as my top rated and this one can either be held up or track the leaders and with the stall one draw it hopefully can get a good early position on the rails behind the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish. 

8:50 Chelmsford - Nine runners in this race with four of them being three year olds without much form from which to work and also there's old saying don't back them in handicaps against their elders until June, there's two known pace setters so I think that's where to start as Luanyao is one of them and my third top rated despite looking to me as being better over six furlongs so at this trip it may struggle to lead if there's another fast starting five furlong horse, Red Flute is my second top rated and this one will probably need to be fairly prominent along with Kuanyao as this one also looks likely to do better over further but going against things because my top rated is YISTY 14/1 who is one of the three year olds and also my other possible front runner and it looks like a five furlong front running types so im going with a small wager and hope it can lead all the way for victory and at the price must hopefully be worth a small each way bet.

Dynamo Walt 16/1 7th
Invade 5/1 1st 
Yisty 14/1 4th

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