Tuesday, 5 April 2016

2:40 Lingfield Racing Tips (6th April) BET TOTEPLACEPOT RACES 1 TO 6 MAIDEN STAKES (CLASS 5) (3yo)

A six runner class six claiming race doesn't set the world on fire but it could be a betting opportunity, I've got three marked down as joint second top rated before I take off the apprentices allowance but are they worth their claim or not I'll leave up to your ideas, Agerzam and Rialto Magic who both can either be held up or track the leaders the other one is Kuanyao who can track the leaders or actually lead but I've got SEEK THE FAIR LAND 11/4 down as my top rated and it can lead or track the leaders and if it does get to the front could prove hard to pass but stakes will be kept to a low level. 

3:20 Nottingham - Only six runners in this class three conditions race with four of them having their first run of the year, I've got three joint second top rated horses and just one pound above them is my top rated and these are the four that haven't run yet this year, Silvanus usually likes to track the pace but usually needs a run to get fit, Poyle Vinnie has been known to lead before but only usually when nothing else does lead and I also think this one might need the run for fitness, Blithe Spirit looks the most likely one to lead and another that may need the run as these three haven't won before on their first run after a break, top rated is Spirit Quartz who is also the officially top rated in the field and has won before after a break but stakes will be kept small because of the lack of recent form. A LITTLE REMINDER I have done this race despite the predicted going being given as soft and if it is soft going I wont be betting, that's not to say my top rated can or cant win but all my figures are worked out using good or firmer going and I haven't got a clue if they can win on soft ground or if they can win this race but I leave them alone if the goings not dry enough. PS the going is given as heavy and they are also expecting some showers so there wont be any bets given for this race 

8:15 Kempton - A half decent race for the class but there's only one known front runner in Bridge Builder who actually might be even better over further so could be a danger if allowed a soft lead and then kicks ofr home off the bend but I will as always go with the proven, Ocean Legend is my fourth top rated but take off the three pounds the apprentice claims and it moves to joint second top, third top is Catalinas Diamond who likes to track the leaders, Secret Witness is my second top rated and can be held up or track the early pace but top spot is FOR AYMAN 7/1 who has got a decent draw in stall two from where to get a good position against the rails from where to attack late on, the stable isn't in the best of form and the apprentice has never won for the stable from nine attempts which puts the bet into the low category and hope the price is big enough to be worth the gamble.

Seek The Fair Land 11/4 1st  
For Ayman 7/1 3rd

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