Friday, 30 September 2016

2:15 Newmarket Winning Racing Tips (1st October) BRITISH EBF FILLIES´ SERIES SPRINT HANDICAP (CLASS 2) (3yo+)

Eric can do better 
A very competitive class 2 race with 14 runners and 4 of them have been known to lead before and all 4 of them are in my top 5 so it should be a fast pace and a lot of these might not be able to get involved, Pixeleen and Calypso Choir are joint 4th top rated, Racing Angel is my 3rd top rated and I doubt this course will see it at its best, 2nd top is DAVID'S DUCHESS 6/1 while top spot is SIXTIES SUE 20/1 but the latter's best time is looking like a fluke result so I have to go with splitting my stakes and backing them both but with a win wager on the former and a small each way bet on the latter.

No bet - soft in going description 
3:05 Ascot -
Group 3 race with 10 runners and 2 known pace setters, Shalaa is a 3 year old that might need this run but has been known to lead and is 4th top rated, 3rd top is Mehronissa who might like further so ought to be staying on strongly at the finish,2nd spot goes to Raucous who may need good to firm ground to show its best but top spot goes to RIDGE RANGER 10/1who would like to be able to dominate from the front and save some stamina for the finish and the price does allow me to do an each way bet as a bit of insurance.

No bet - soft in going description 

4:15 Ascot -
Listed race with 14 entries and surprisingly for a 5 furlong race there's only 2 known front runners and neither of them are in my top 5 ratings, Double Up is my 4th top and Willytheconqueror 3rd top and both can be held up or track the leaders, my 2nd top rated is SOLE POWER 15/2 who hasn't been in its best form this year but it's now dropped in class and it could be good enough to win this and expect it to come late and fast and Jamie Spencer is well known for his hold up tactics so he should suit the horses running style but I have got MEDICEAN MAN 12/1 rated just a little higher but this horse hasn't been in the best form lately and it's now a 10-year-old, I'm hoping there's some value in the prices of these 2 as there are negatives against both of them but I'm convinced either could spring back to form here, so I'm now going with splitting my stakes into 3rd's and have one 3rd win on Sole Power and one 3rd each way on Medicean Man.

No bet - soft in going description 

4:50 Ascot -
Of the 18 runners there's 7 that have been known to lead before but only Majestic Hero of those 7 is in my top 5 in joint 3rd top, Dutch Master piece is my 5th top rated and the other joint 3rd top Robot Boy both like to race prominently without leading, my 2nd top rated is Rio Ronaldo from a time recorded over this course and distance and can be held up or track the leaders but top of my list is SHAMSHON 17/2 at 1st glance it doesn't look to be in form but most of its recent runs have been in a higher class and this drop to class 3 might rejuvenate it to winning ways and with 4 places for an each way bet the price allows just that.

No bet - soft in going description 

5:35 Redcar -
Division 1 of this race and 8 of the 11 runners have been known to lead, Run Rio Run is 3rd top rated and a front runner and may either find the distance too short or it's a hidden danger so could make the frame from the front of the race, 2nd top rated is FLASH CITY 12/1 who likes to sit just behind the leaders and pick them off nearing the finish and could be the 1 to prosper if they go too fast in front and at the price has to be backed each way, top rated is HORSFORTH 6/1 who won Thursday so might be a non runner but can take the compulsory 6lb penalty for that win and still be top rated but its win was on the all-weather surface, not grass.

Flash City 12/1 3rd
Horsforth 14/1 7th

6:05 Redcar -
Division 2 has just 3 front runners, Innocently who is my 5th top and Bronze Beau my joint 3rd top rated are 2 of the possible leaders, Gowanless is the other joint 3rd top and may need further to show its best, ANIERES BOY 9/1 is my 2nd top rated but it's also a possible leader and is 1lb below top spot so the top rated SEARANGER 25/1 would have to do everything perfectly to catch the leaders but being so closely matched I will have to go with backing both of them each way to show a profit whichever one does the business.

Searanger 33/1 5th
Anieres 14/1 8th
6:40 Wolverhampton -
With 13 runners ive found 3 that have been known to lead before and Flowers On Venus looks to be the best of those 3 and is my 4th top rated and stall 3 looks ideal for it, my 3rd top is Kasbah but stall 10 hinders this ones chances, I've got joint top rated with SEEKING MAGIC 13/2 and BOOMERANG BOB 10/1 both like to race near the front but without leading, stall 7 for the former is just about ok but the latter is widest of all in stall 13 and then I've got 4 marked down as possible dangers stakes will be kept low.

Seeking Magic 13/2 3rd
Boomerang Bob 10/1 6th


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