Saturday, 10 September 2016

3:15 Bath Winning Racing Tips (11th Sept) CONTROL DEVELOPMENTS HANDICAP (Summer Sprint Series Final) (CLASS 3) (3yo+)

Kingsgate Native
Seventeen runners and very little early pace in this race, Dreams Of Glory would maybe try to lead if it was a five-furlong race so that is a problem, Showdizzy and Virile could be potentially hidden dangers so cant be discounted easily, and theres only six that have done a fast enough time to register on my graphs, Babyfact sixth, Vincentti fifth, Dusty Blue fourth or second because of the three pound claiming apprentice on board, Storm Melody third top, Racquet is second top but moves to joint top with this ones five pound claiming apprentice but top is ESSAKE 14/1 a hold up type who is also being ridden by a five pounds claiming apprentice which moves it that much clear, its not a great race for a class three affair and stakes will be kept low in an each way betand I expect the going will be on the soft side but im always the optimist and I hope the going is good or better but if any soft in the going then no bets. 

3:25 Chelmsford - A race where ive not got a great deal of form to work with for some of the horses, Mickey is the only known fron runner so could be dangerous with an easy lead, then im not discarding Seychelloise, Primrose Valley, Major Crispies and Quick Look as they could all be capable of doing better than they have shown so far, I would be looking to lay Secret Missile, Fleckerl, Free Zone and Hakam for various reasons and then ive got the two topweighted horses as my joint top rated both are hold up types, so I will go with splitting my stakes to back both ZAC BROWN 25/1 each way and GENTLEMEN 5/1 to profit whichever way it goes but its definitely not a race to getting too deeply involved with so many unknowns.

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