Wednesday, 28 September 2016

5:25 Newcastle Winning Racing Tips (29th Sept) AMAZON WEB SERVICES HANDICAP (Div I) (CLASS 6) (3yo+ 0-60)

Winning racing tips, Eric Winner,
This 1st division of this race is a mish-mash of times and percentage speed figures all caused by it being a relatively new all-weather course, I've got negatives marked aginst 5 of the runners, 2 that I couldn't back or lay and 5 with recorded speed figures from either here or at Wolverhampton which has the same material to race on. Intense Starlight has won its last 2 races at this track over both sprint distances but its percentage speed rating hasn't been great on either time but it is in good form and could be improving for the switch to this surface and just holds Windforpower at these weights and it is only just, Captain Scooby did its time at Wolverhampton but that's also relatively slow, I've got CHIP OR PELLET 6/1 as my top speed figures from this course and distance and it could be an improving 3-year-old for the switch to this surface and I've got FRANK THE BARBER 8/1 the top rating from its Wolverhampton time and this one is the only known front running type in the race so if it does get an easy uncontested lead it could well win from pillar to post but as I'm still having difficulty comparing the 2 courses with this surface and by backing the fastest at both I've hopefully captured the winner.

WINNER!!!!!!!!!!!!

Chip Or Pellet 9/1 1st
Frank The Barber 10/1 2nd
EX: £52.40
SF: £95.28
5:35 Brighton
Not a great days racing with my sprints today but this course is forecast as being good to firm so here's hoping that's right, if so I've got a negative against every runner barring my top 3 ratings, Hipz is 3rd best and can be held up or track the leaders, my 2nd top rated is GOADBY 16/1 who is always capable of winning a race but it does seem whenever it feels like it but it does have the advantage here of being the only horse that's known to front run in a race and it could get an uncontested lead here and the price is good enough to have a small each-way wager but top spot goes to the top weight NOVERRE TO GO 9/2 and this also is capable of winning when it's in the right frame of mind and I will have to back both of them to small stakes and hope 1 of them has a going day.

Noverre To Go 10/1 7th
Goadby 16/1 8th
5:55 Newcastle
Second division is the same sort of race, I've got 3 with negatives, 2 what I'm not sure what to make of so neither bets or lays and 2 possible pace setters, Under Approval could lead from stall 1 but is only 2nd top rated on times from Wolverhampton and the top rated from these times is Ypres who may find this distance too short but does like to race prominently if they don't go too fast for it early on in the race, Indaster comes out 3rd best from the Wolverhampton times but comes out top in the limited form of this course but its is the other possible front runner and stall 5 in a small field of 9 isn't anywhere near impossible, 2nd top rated from the Newcastle times is Questo but this one also might appreciate a longer trip, so I will once again go with the 2 top ratings from each course and back both INDASTAR 9/4 and YPRES 9/2 and hope I've captured the winner but there's not much value in backing both of them but its better than losing but stakes will be kept low and it wouldn't be wrong if you even left the race alone.

Ypres 9/2 4th
Indastar 4/1 6th
9:10 Chelmsford
A class 7 race and it is quite dire but I think I may have found a nice little gem amongst the crap, I've got 6 that I would look to lay, 4 that I'm not sure about, either way, 2 that have been known to lead before and only 4 that have done a time fast enough to register on my figures. Westbourne Grove is 1 that might lead from stall 4 if it's capable which I doubt for some reason, the other possible front runner is Cadland Lad my 4th top rated but its got stall 10 which isn't ideal but if its the only 1 to try and lead it could be dangerous and the trainer has employed a top class jockey who does well for the yard to take the ride and I think it might try to lead all the way, Commanche is 3rd top and Multi Quest my 2nd top rated and both usually like to race prominently but will be coming out of stalls 11 and 9, so not ideal but top spot id RYAN STYLE 12/1 another who may need to race prominently from its stall 6 draw and then be staying on strongly at the finish, if there's a fast enough early pace, which there might not be so luckily the price permits me to back it each way, with most of these being very very poor I'm going with backing both my top rated and CADLAND LAD 9/2 who just might be able to pinch this race from the front.

Cadland Lad 9/2 2nd
Ryan Style 33/1 4th

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