Thursday, 22 September 2016

9:15 Newcastle Winning Racing Tips (23rd Sept) ALPHA BOILERS HANDICAP (CLASS 6) (3yo+ 0-60)

LADY JOANNA VASSA-- hasn't run before on the all-weather, this surface may not suit it but it has been known to lead so could improve so no lay or bet on this horse.
INDASTAR**-- has run twice at this course and distance in what looks like being fast times for the class of race it can lead or race near the front and has to be on the short list.

COMPTON RIVER-- hasn't run on this surface but it may not suit it despite in being capable of leading but it's gone down as a lay on my list. **
WINDFORPOWER-- has no form on this surface and may find this distance too short if they go a fast pace and would likely get outpaced early and then stay on too late and a possible lay. **
INTENSE STARLET-- has run here before but over 6 furlongs and at this trip might find things happening too quick for it but I'm not confident enough to lay it.
CLERGYMAN-- this one looks to need further to show its best but hasn't run on this surface but has only produced slow times on good to firm going on turf so this might be too short and a possible lay
TILSWORTH MICKY-- a 4year old that's only had 6 races, none on this surface,its only attempt at this trip saw it tailed off but also doesn't seem to stay 6 furlongs, so I couldn't back or lay this one.
GOWANLESS*-- hasn't run on any all-weather surface before but did a fast time on good to firm going on the turf so ought to like this surface and a potential hidden danger.
SUGAR TOWN-- this one looks to want a little bit further but has had 2 runs here over 6 furlongs which have muddied the waters another to leave alone on both fronts.
HARPERS RUBY-- has won on this surface at Wolverhampton in a faster time than Indastar but is held by it on a run over this course and distance but could have place claims.
CHANDRESH-- hasn't run at any all-weather track, its times have been slow where it has run and this distance looks too short for it so a possible lay for me. **
TELL THE STARS-- has only had 5 runs and its last one at this course, I'm not sure what its ideal distance is but it is a 3-year-old so could be open to improvement but I couldn't back it or lay it.
MAJESTIC MANANNAN-- has had 2 runs on this surface here and was well behind Indastar when that one won and is held at the revised weights so another possible lay. **
CAMANCHE GREY-- has had 9 races on the all-weather tracks without a victory and this surface doesn't seem to suit it very much but its time says it might make the frame.
SUMMARY: What a poor race, I've only got 3 horses with a recorded time on this surface and there's been no proven advantage to be either side of the track, I've got 5 that I couldn't back or lay, I've got another as a possible hidden danger plus 4 that I would lay if the prices were low enough, in looking for the winner everything seems to link to INDASTAR 6/1 who has won at this course and distance with Harpers Ruby and Majestic Manannan behind it and is weighted to beat them again here but Harpers Ruby has done a faster time than the selection at Wolverhampton that has the same surface, remember we are talking about class 6 animals so consistency doesn't appear on their CV's so any stakes should be kept to a sensibly slow level.

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