Monday, 17 October 2016

3:30 Newcastle Winning Racing Tips (18th Oct) PARKLANDS DRIVING RANGE HANDICAP (Div II) (CLASS 4) (3yo+ 0-80)

This 2nd division of this race has 11 runners, Davids Duchess is the only “known” front running type, from what's been seen so far and does come out 2nd top on figures taken from the turf form and if getting an easy lead could do even better, only Master Bond has a time from this course and distance but it is a slow one and would need quite a bit more if any of these take the course and surface, top rated on turf times is PEARL ACCLAIM 9/2 and this one was running in much better company not that long ago and this could be the chance it's been waiting for to get back to the winners enclosure and it showed its well being when finishing 2nd last time out in a fast time at Chelmsford and if taking to this surface must go close.

Pearl Acclaim 5/1 8th
YARMOUTH 3.50
Of the 15 runners in this race there's a few with very little form to work with and 3 of them, Saucy Spirit, Tailwind and Santorini could be definite dangers in the race then I've also got 4, Merdon Castle, Hope Cove, Appleberry and Borough Boy, that I think can be lays in the race if their prices permit but if the going was slow only the 1st mentioned would still remain as a lay. (I have got horses marked down as lays and potential lays so much depends on the going and if there's any non runners in the race and can only really be finalised a few minutes before the off time) There's 3 that have been known to lead before and one of them is my top rated MENAI 11/2 who's trainer has got a very good record at this course winning with 4 of his 13 runners and I'm hoping this one can get out and get to the front and control the race and if being allowed to dictate should have every chance of winning again, Vimy Ridge is well weighted at its best but does find this distance a touch too far which seems a good place to just concentrate on my top 3 ratings, 3rd spot is Kenny The captain who usually races to the fore but without actually leading and is in stall 14. my 2nd top rated is Harwoods Volante another who likes to race prominently and is in stall 2.

Menai 11/2 3rd
YARMOUTH 4.20
Division1 of this sprint with 11 runners and only Colourbearer and maybe Palmina known as front runners with the latter maybe only doing it if nothing else wants to set the pace but could be a danger if getting its own way in front but Colourbearer has had 23 races on turf without winning so I doubt that will change here although the race won't take much winning with only 2 going fast enough to record a figure, Harwoods Star and KEENE'S POINTE 5/1 who is 5lbs ahead but stakes will be kept low with such an inconsistent field of runners.

Keene's point 5/1 2nd
YARMOUTH 4.50
This 2nd division is dire I've got 3, Baileys Pursuit,State Of The Union and Humour marked down as potential pace makers but only CAPTAIN SCOOBY 6/1 has made my lowest rating and that is right on the lower limit, it maybe worth a bet depending on the price as I have got 3 or 4 that could be potentially hidden dangers.

Captain Scooby 9/1 Unp
NEWCASTLE 5.00
Looks an interesting race for a class 5 affair but there's virtually no form on this surface to work with and the 1 piece of form there is the times very slow so I can only rate these on turf times and hope they like the course and surface, which means stakes will be kept low, I've got 5 that have been known to lead and one of them AYRESOME ANGEL 16/1 is my joint top rated and stall 4 could be good enough for it to gain control of the rails and then be very hard to catch but if they do go too fast in front the 1 most likely to prosper looks to be RURAL CELEBRATION 6/1 and I will go with backing both to show a profit whichever one does the business.

WINNER!!!!!!!! Rural Celebration 6/1 1st
Ayrsome Angel 16/1 Unp
KEMPTON 9.10
If your still awake this late to watch this poor race but it could be worthwhile keeping your eyes open, of the 12 runners there's only 1 that's known as a front-running type and when it's also my top rated I'm always hopeful of a good run, there's very little between, Doctor Parkes, Straits Of Malacca and Kinglami who are my 5th, 4th and 3rd top rated horses and they can all be either held up or track the leaders the same style applies to For Ayman in 2nd spot, my top rated is RIGOLLETO 16/1 and I'm hoping the instructions to the apprentice, who has won 5 races, taking the ride are to get out fast from stall 9, which is the only negative I can see, try to get across to the rails and lead from start to finish and has to be given as an each way bet.

Rigolleto 16/1 9th

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