Wednesday, 19 October 2016

8:45 Chelmsford Winning Racing Tip (20th Oct) BOOK YOUR CHRISTMAS PARTY AT CHELMSFORDCITYRACECOURSE.COM HANDICAP (Div I)

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HUMOUR may really need further but being 1 of only 2 known front-runners in the race it could set its own pace and is my top rated—Playful Dude has no distance form and looks to need a longer trip and in my eyes a lay—Burauq is a hold up type of horse and comes out 2nd best on my figures so could stay on to make the frame—Wimboldsley looks a much better horse over the shorter distances and another I would look to lay—Cadland Lad is the other possible front runner and my joint 3rd best but its had 18 runs without winning on the all-weather before so may make the frame again here—Cytringan has got poor form and looks to want further and another lay—Touch The Clouds will need to be held up to make the trip but it's another lay in my eyes as the pace could be reasonably fast—Simply Black also may find this distance stretching its stamina but comes out 4th best but when taking off the apprentices allowance it moves to joint 3rd so could make the frame—Alberto definitely looks to need further to show its best and another lay for me—Lady Bacchus has only shown very poor form so far and another lay—Cecile Royal has only shown poor form and may need further so another lay...

SUMMARY: I'm hoping that the selection HUMOUR 8/1 can get to the front and dictate matters and with the right early pace could save something for the finish to repel all challengers.

Winnner!!!!!!!!! Humour 8/1 1st

9:15 Chelmsford - Decisive may really prefer further and is a versatile horse and the only one known to lead, it comes out joint 3rd top so could make the frame—Dream Ally is the other joint 3rd top rated horse but hasn't been as good this year but making the frame is possible here—Bemusement is making its handicap debut so have they been holding it back in its 1st 3 runs to get a low mark, I don't know but it could make it a hidden danger—KENSTONE is my 2nd top rated but has had 21 runs so far and still a maiden but it must have a chance here to break its duck unless it's one of those horses that will always struggle to win races—Captain Scooby has won once from 45 runs on the all weather and looks better over a shorter trip so a lay in my eyes—RYAN STYLE is my top rated from a time it did last year, this jockey has a poor record of 0 from 13 for the stable so his booking might be a negative—Nelson's Pride is 0 from 31 in all it's races, it's unclear what its best distance is so would be a lay to me—Single Summit is 0 from 13 so far but it could be a hidden danger so neither a bet or lay in my eyes—Bushwise is 0 from 8 on the all-weather including here and looks to prefer a slower surface so another possible lay—Fearless Poppy has only shown very poor form so far and this looks too short for it so a lay as far as I can see.
SUMMARY: Decisive may set the pace and do enough to hold on for at least a place but both my top 2 are being ridden by apprentices and the booking on RYAN STYLE 25/1 my top rated looks a negative and my 2nd top rated KENSTONE 3/1 is also apprentice ridden and add ones allowance and subtract the others and my top places change places but the latter is still a 21 run maiden, I will go with backing both of them to small stakes in the hope that one of them can do enough to show me a profit.

Ryan Style 25/1 2nd (nose)
Kenstone 3/1 5th

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