Wednesday, 30 November 2016

5:15 Chelmsford Winning Racing Tips (1st Dec) #TOTEELFIE WIN A £50 FREE BET HANDICAP (CLASS 4) (3yo+ 0-80)

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Pearl Spectre has won its last 2 races and may now be too high to win again but never say never especially when a horse is in tip-top form and it can front run but stall 6 isn't the best either.
Picture Dealer comes out 3rd top rated from a time in 2015 and is dropped slightly in class here but needs to improve on this years times to win this.
Captain Dion is a possible pace setter from stall 4 but it has no all-weather form to analyse and looking at its turf form it may prefer a slower surface.
Parkour hasn't any course form but its times on this surface elsewhere means it needs to improve quite a lot to win this but it is still only a 3year old so not impossible.
El Viento hasn't run here before but its best time recorded at Lingfield in 2015 is the best time of any of these at that course but its been way out of form this year and not for me here.
Varsovian ought to be staying on strongly at the finish and should have a fast pace to aim at here, its top rated on this course times and 2nd top on Lingfield times, every chance here if repeating its best.
Sophisticated Heir usually races prominently and is 5th top rated but only 7lbs shy of the top spot and could have place claims if others fail to do their best.
Anonymous John hasn't any course form but does come out 2nd best on Lingfield times, it's a possible pace setter and from stall 1 should have a good chance of leading.
September Issue may find this distance a bit too far for it at the moment but it is only a 3year old so could still find some improvement in time.
Dutch Golden Age is versatile with its running style and its best makes it my 4th top rated just 6lb off top spot so could possibly make the frame.
Gold Club usually likes to race prominently so stall 9 isn't great and its best time wouldn't put it in my top 5 so may struggle here.
Welease Bwian is a much better horse over the 5-furlong trip and with a fast early pace may struggle to stay the distance in this race.
Panther Patrol has only produced poor form recently and also may be a better horse on a slower surface so a possible lay in my opinion.
Interlink who broke its maiden tag 2 runs ago over this course and distance but in class 5 race and struggled last time out at Kempton in this class but is well weighted on that winning time.
SUMMARY: With 4 and possibly 5 horses known to lead before this could be a fast run race which is what my top rated, VARSOVIAN 16/1, needs at this distance and if getting either a good prominent position and/or a clear run then it has to have a decent chance here to get back to winning ways and the price permits for me to go with an each way bet.
7:45 Chelsmford - Not really a race where I can write something about every horse, so like a summary report, of the 14 runners there's 5 that have been known to lead but I've got the race down to concerning 3 horses, Encapsulted is my 2nd top rated on times recorded at this course and 1 of the possible pace setters and stall 1 is absolutely perfect for its style of running and ought to be hard to catch by most of these if getting to the front and control of the favoured rails position round the bends, New Rich comes out 3rd best on times recorded at Chelmsford but it has the best time on the same surface but at Lingfield so if doing its best ought to make the frame, top spot on course and distance times is HUMOUR 9/1 who just happens to be another of those that have been known to lead before but stall 13 is definitely not a good draw but looking at the make up of this race it could quite easily get out and sit either beside or just behind Encapsulated and would then have every chance to outstay them all in the closing stages for the win.

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