INVINCIBLE RIDGE has only raced over this course and distance once and finished 5th beaten nearly 5 lengths in a slow time so may not like this surface but has won on soft going on grass so maybe it could do better, couldn't lay or back this horse.
MONUMENTAL MAN is a front running type but hasn't run on this surface and from its turf form doesn't look like this course will suit so a lay if any value.
BOROUGH BOY hasn't done a very fast time over this distance as it finds it too short and is much better over further and in my opinion a lay bet.
CAPTAIN LARS won last time out but on a different surface and it may find this trip too short here but if they go a fast early pace it ought to be staying on strongly, I doubt it can win but could sneak a place.
KING CRIMSON has only run once on this surface and ran poorly and from other form lines, it doesn't look like this surface will suit so another possible lay.
SPIRAEA hasn't any course and distance form and looks as though it wants further to show its best so possibly another lay in my opinion.
BOLD won last time out at Kempton over 6 furlongs and I doubt this drop in trip will help its cause but ought to be staying on maybe too late though to win this race.
TICKS THE BOXES hasn't any course and distance form but looks as though further would be best as when winning last time out and another I would look to lay at this distance if there is any value.
CROSSE FIRE hasn't made the frame recently but does come to form this time of year and at its best is my top rated and hopefully won't be slowly away this time out.
PIAZON is my 3rd top rated and usually races near the fore and if running to its best time then could have a chance of making the frame.
RED STRIPES could be a pace setter in this race and is my 2nd top rated but from a time recorded in 2015 and hasn't had any course form so far this year but could be placed.
CLUBLAND has only produced slow times recently and even its best from 2014 wouldn't make it top-rated and may prefer further as it finds this distance too short nowdays and a possible lay.
PENNY DREADFUL hasn't any course form and may really won't a longer trip to show its best and another one on my lay list.
SECRET CLAUSE has only done slow times at this course and distance but being a 3year old it could still improve so definitely not a bet and also not a lay.
SUMMARY: For a class 4 race this isn't the greatest but at least it should be a decently fast run race with 5 horses that have been known to lead before and with Red Stripes a front runner and my 2nd top rated a lot of the hold up types might not get involved but if the selection CROSSE FIRE 11/1 can get away on level terms in this race it has a good chance to get back to winning ways and with its form figures it might slip under most people's radar and is a big enough price for me to say it will maybe be better to go with an each-way wager.
Cross Fire 14/1 3rd
3:30 Southwell - This is a class 6 stakes race with 14 runners but 8 of the runners are 3year olds who could have some improvement within themselves and the 6 that are older have no form worth mentioning on this surface so half way through my analysis I've decided this race is just too hard to work out with any confidence of getting it right so I will leave it alone.