Wednesday, 1 February 2017

7:00 Newcastle Racing Tips (1st Feb) BETWAY BEST ODDS GUARANTEED PLUS APPRENTICE HANDICAP (CLASS 5) (4yo+ 0-75)

horse racing, racing tips, winning racing tips
ART OBSESSION is my top rated horse and being the top weight as well that's usually a good omen even though I think the horse might be better over further.
PALENVILLE this one might find this too short a trip and struggle to catch the pace setters and in my opinion a possible lay.
SEMANA SANTA comes out 4th best on my figures so could make the frame if others falter SILHUETTE I think this one might not like this going but I'm not 100% sure if I could lay it but sure wouldn't back it to win.
SAVANNAH BEAU is a holdup type and my 2nd top rated and the trainers form here is okay so it ought to make the frame if repeating its previous best.
DODGY BOB is a possible pace setter and my 3rd top rated and the trainer and jockeys statistics are good so it looks like they are expecting a big run from it in this race.
BARON RUN the other possible front runner but hasn't run very good since 2015 and I would need to see a spark before it would interest me and a possible lay.
MR MORSE has no form on this surface but looking through other form lines it might not like this going so hopefully a lay bet.
BURTONWOOD did a fast time over this trip at Wolverhampton but the trainer is 0-22 on this course so I couldn't back it.
SUMMARY: Only 9 runners and these apprentice jockey races can sometimes be hard to analyse properly but maybe there's something worth backing here, the most likely leader, in my opinion, will be Dodgy Bob my 3rd top rated and I think they will be trying to pinch this race from the front, Savannah Beau comes out 2nd best but is a hold up type so this one will be hoping they go too fast early and they fade nearing the finish but my top rated is Art Obsession who usually tracks the leaders and the jockey booking looks a positive one. I will be backing the selection ART OBSESSION 9/1 but I can't easily leave Dodgy Bob out of my calculations especially if it gets an easy lead but I will as the usual stick with my top rated but won't be going in all guns blazing.

Art Obsession 9/1 3rd



2 comments:

Jason Coote said...

So which horse do you fancy in this race?

Jason Coote said...

With regard to a comment...Eric

The trainer has got a 3% strike rate at Newcastle but the jockey he's deployed tonight has only had 1 run for him before and won so I thought the jockey booking might outweigh the trainer's poor strike rate